Tonight’s NBA slate includes nine games, and it can be challenging to find value in each one. Therefore, we asked the AI Model for its projections and input.
Here are three bets you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Jazz/Thunder Over 226.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Warriors/Kings Over 228.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Clippers +9.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Paycom Center
The AI Model suggests the Utah Jazz and Oklahoma City Thunder will combine for 229 points. However, the total is currently 226.5, so the over has plenty of value heading into tonight’s game.
Utah Will Be Sneaky Tonight!
The Utah Jazz have scored 111.7 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 20th in the NBA. They’ll be shut down from the field and likely get caught for many steals. That said, the Jazz can stay alive with the offensive glass and free-throw shooting.
The Jazz have earned 31.1% of offensive rebounds and a 20.7% free-throw rate, which are among the top five rates in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Thunder rank 27th in defensive rebounding and 27th in defensive free-throw rate.
The Jazz have a couple of offensive edges.
Oklahoma City Should Erupt!
While the Jazz have a couple of edges, the Thunder have a bunch more on offense. Oklahoma City ranks 6th in points per 100 possessions and has turned the ball over just 12% of the time.
Ultimately, the Jazz have added 11.8% of turnovers per game and have allowed 118.1 points per 100 possessions. The Thunder, at home, should have a field day offensively.
The Pick
Let’s back the Over in this game.
NBA Pick: Jazz/Thunder Over 226.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
Our AI Model predicts the Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors will contribute 229 points in tonight’s contest. With the total sitting at 228.5, the over is also the play in this game.
Can The Warriors Find Offense Without Key Players?
The Golden State Warriors are just 21-21 on the season and won’t have four key players playing tonight. They’ll be without:
- Jonathan Kuminga
- Draymond Green
- Kyle Anderson
- Brandin Podziemski.
That said, the Warriors should still get some good looks from the floor, knowing that the Kings have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 54.9% and a 20.8 free-throw rate, which ranks 26th in the NBA.
If the Warriors can take advantage of these two areas, they’ll put up a fight.
Sacramento’s Top-Ten Offense?
The Kings have scored or allowed at least 123 points in their last four games. The Kings play with a lot of pace and have a top-8 offense in points per 100 possessions.
The Warriors are still playing solid defense, but the depth is lacking, which will only hurt them down the line. If the Kings can continue limiting turnovers to 12.9%, they’ll get enough shots to escape the Warriors. That would also be enough to reach the Over.
The Pick
Tail the Model and take the Over 228.5 here.
NBA Pick: Warriors/Kings Over 228.5 (-110) at Bet365
Boston Celtics vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model believes the Clippers will only lose to the Celtics, 112-105. Yet, the Clippers are +10. There’s plenty of value with Los Angeles here.
Can The Clippers Slow Down Boston?
The Boston Celtics rank third in the NBA in points per 100 possessions, scoring 120.6 points. The Celtics also rank 7th in effective field goal percentage and don’t turn the ball over at a high rate.
The issue is that the Clippers have limited teams to 108.7 points per 100 possessions and have held teams to a 52.9% effective field goal percentage. The Celtics might not get the looks they’re used to seeing and then could end up missing more shots.
Beyond that, the Clippers have limited teams to 25.7% of offensive rebounds. The Celtics are unlikely to win second chances against the Clippers easily.
The Clippers Should Shoot Better at Home
The Clippers are by no means better offensively than the Celtics. But being home should help them a bit. In addition, Los Angeles has still shot a 54.3% effective field goal percentage and has a 19.4% free-throw rate.
Ultimately, the Clippers have frequently turned the ball over. But that might not be the case against the Celtics, who rank 23rd in turnovers earned on defense.
The Pick
Take a chance with the Clippers at +10.
NBA Pick: Clippers +10 (-110) at BetMGM
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
