After just one game yesterday, we’re back with a full 12-game slate in the NBA tonight. With so many games, I had to ask the AI Model to point us in the right direction. Here are three games that AI Model loves for you to consider at top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Hawks/Timberwolves Over 218 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Jazz +9.5 (-115) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
- Suns +1 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Atlanta Hawks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Monday, January 27, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Target Center
The AI Model suggests Atlanta and Minnesota will score 222 points tonight. However, the total is currently 218. That means the over is highly valuable in this game.
Atlanta Needs To Regroup!
After four consecutive losses, the Atlanta Hawks are getting desperate. They are 22-23 and suddenly below .500.
Atlanta’s offense is below average, but the Hawks have gained 29.5% of offensive rebounds and have a top-ten free-throw rate. They’ll at least be good enough on the offensive glass to add second chances against the Timberwolves. After all, Minnesota has allowed 28.2% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
Open Shots All Day For Minnesota!
The Minnesota Timberwolves are an average offense at best.
They’ve struggled with turnovers at times and don’t always get to the foul line consistently. That said, the Timberwolves have shot a 55.1% effective field goal percentage and will take on a Hawks defense that has allowed a 56.1% effective field goal percentage on defense.
This favors Milwaukee’s offense. They’ll get good looks and should be able to knock them down consistently.
The Pick
Ride with the AI Model and take the Over.
NBA Pick: Hawks/Timberwolves Over 218 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Utah Jazz
Monday, January 27, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
The AI Model suggests the Jazz will only lose to the Bucks by eight points at home. Meanwhile, the Jazz are +9 against the spread. According to our model, Utah has some value.
No Second Chances For Milwaukee!
The Bucks will get plenty of solid looks tonight. Their effective field goal percentage is 57.3%, and they have turned the ball over 13.5%. That’s not going to change tonight.
However, the Bucks have also earned just 21.8% of offensive rebounds. What happens when they struggle slightly more on the road? The Bucks can’t add second chances often and could end up scoring slightly below average.
Can Utah Protect The Rock?
The Jazz aren’t nearly as good of a shooting team as the Bucks. They’ll need to do the little things better.
Ultimately, the Jazz have turned the ball over 17.9% of the time this year. That’s an area that needs to improve for this game. And it should, especially since the Bucks have gained below 13% of turnovers. Therefore, if the Jazz keep turnovers down and take more shots, they’ll at least be able to cover against this surging Bucks squad.
The Pick
Grab the Jazz at +9 here.
NBA Pick: Jazz +9.5 (-115) at BetMGM
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Phoenix Suns
Monday, January 27, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model believes the Suns will pull out a win at home against the Clippers, 112-111. Yet, the Suns are +1. Grab the Suns as underdogs!
The Suns Match Up Well Defensively!
The Phoenix Suns have never been an elite defense this year. They’ve allowed 116.2 points per 100 possessions and have gained just 12.8% of turnovers per game this year.
That said, they’ll take on a Clippers offense that has only scored 111.3 points per 100 possessions. Los Angeles has also turned the ball over 16.3% of the time.
The Suns can take advantage with more turnovers and limit the Clippers from the field. Ultimately, Phoenix has limited teams to a 54% effective field goal percentage, which is still a top-ten number in the NBA.
The Suns Can Win At The Foul Line!
The Suns won’t get the easiest of looks in this game. After all, the Clippers rank second in the NBA in points per 100 possessions on defense and have allowed just a 52.7% effective field goal percentage.
The Suns could also struggle on the offensive glass, where they’ve added just 24.8% of offensive rebounds per game. However, Phoenix ranks third in the NBA in free throw rate, and the Clippers rank 17th defensively. This is where the Suns can exploit the Clippers. In a projected tight game, the foul shots will be important.
The Pick
Take the Suns at +1.
NBA Pick: Suns +1 (-110) at Bet365
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