Tonight’s NBA action features seven NBA matchups with plenty of value. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets for January 31. Let’s finish the month strong!
Picks Summary
- Bucks -3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Celtics-Pelicans Over 231.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Warriors ML (+100) at Bet365
Milwaukee Bucks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Friday, January 31, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center
The AI Model believes the Bucks will earn a four-point road victory over the Spurs tonight. Meanwhile, you can find the Bucks at -3 via Bet365. A four-point win would get the cover.
Trust Milwaukee!
The Milwaukee Bucks have scored 116.1 points per 100 possessions. Ultimately, it’d be higher if the Bucks were more aggressive on the offensive glass.
Still, in this game, the Bucks might not even need to worry about more second chances. After all, Milwaukee has nailed a 57.6% effective field goal percentage and has turned the ball over just 13.4% of the time.
Meanwhile, the Spurs have allowed 115.5 points per 100 possessions and have added just 13.1% of turnovers. The Bucks have plenty of potential on offense tonight.
Can The Spurs Stick Around?
To answer the question, it’s unlikely.
The Spurs have shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.8% and rank slightly below average in every significant offensive category.
The Bucks won’t force many turnovers, but Milwaukee has held teams to a 53.2% effective field goal percentage and allowed only 26% of offensive rebounds.
That should be enough to give the Bucks at least a multi-possession win. Let’s ride with the AI Model and take the Bucks at -3.
NBA Pick: Bucks -3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Boston Celtics vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Friday, January 31, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center
The AI Model suggests that the Celtics and Pelicans will combine for 232 points tonight. Yet, you can find the total at 231.5 via Caesars. The Over is the best bet in this game.
Boston Can’t Be Stopped!
The Boston Celtics rank No. 3 in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. On the other hand, the Pelicans rank 29th on defense.
The Celtics should have a field day on the offensive side of the ball. Ultimately, the Pelicans have allowed a 56.6% effective field goal percentage and have given up 31.8% of offensive rebounds.
The Celtics will already get great looks. But even if Boston misses, they’ll clean up the glass.
At Least New Orleans Won’t Turn The Ball Over!
Don’t expect the Pelicans to stick around against the Celtics. The Pelicans lack the offense of the Celtics.
However, the Pelicans have at least minimized turnovers to 14.3%. That will help give the Pelicans enough possessions to add a good chunk of points.
New Orleans has also added 29% of offensive rebounds, so a handful of second chances aren’t out of the question, either. I’ll gladly take the Over 231.5 in this game.
NBA Pick: Over 231.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors
Friday, January 31, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center
The AI Model believes the Warriors will add a three-point win over the Suns at home. However, the Warriors are still just +100 on the moneyline. Take a gamble with Golden State at home!
Suns Could Have Trouble On The Glass!
The Phoenix Suns have scored 115.2 points per 100 possessions. That ranks 12th in the NBA. However, they’re facing a Warriors defense that ranks 8th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions.
The Warriors have already limited teams to a 53.9% effective field goal percentage. In addition, they’ve added nearly 15% of turnovers and have allowed just 26.8% of offensive rebounds.
That’s huge, especially since the Suns have added only 24.9% of offensive rebounds. There won’t be many second chances for the Suns in tonight’s game. Plus, shot-making won’t be so easy against the Warriors.
Warriors Can Score at a Better Rate
The Golden State Warriors have scored 112.2 points per 100 possessions. It’s mainly because they’ve added 29.8% of offensive rebounds. The Warriors don’t always shoot the ball well. Yet, they should be able to limit turnovers against a Suns team that ranks 26th in turnover percentage on defense.
Furthermore, the Warriors should have fun on the offensive glass since the Suns have given up 27.8% of offensive rebounds.
Take the Warriors on the moneyline at +100 NBA odds. There’s value there.
NBA Pick: Warriors ML (+100) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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