We’ve got 12 games on tonight’s NBA slate. Using the AI Model, I’ve found three very valuable bets for tonight’s games. Check out these three bets below.
Picks Summary
- Mavericks +7 (-110)
- Trail Blazers/Warriors Over 231.5 (-110)
- Knicks/Kings Over 218.5 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Monday, March 10, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center
The AI Model believes the Spurs will earn a 118-112 win at home against the Mavericks. However, the Mavericks are +7 and would cover in a six-point loss.
Trust The Mavs?
The Dallas Mavericks lost Kyrie Irving for the year due to a torn ACL. They also don’t have Anthony Davis, among plenty of other talented players who are all injured.
The depth is lacking. However, the Mavericks still have a good chance to score points against the Spurs. After all, the Spurs still rank 26th in points per 100 possessions. They rarely force turnovers and have allowed 29.8% of offensive rebounds.
Therefore, despite the lack of depth, Dallas has an edge in many key areas.
Dallas’ Defense Is Still Great
The Dallas Mavericks have still limited teams to a 53.5% effective field goal percentage. They’ve also held teams to just an 18.4 free throw rate.
The Mavericks don’t have a lot of players available, but they’re well-coached and will commit on defense. That’s all that matters.
The Pick
I’m on the Mavericks at +7.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +7 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors
Monday, March 10, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center
The AI Model thinks the Warriors and Trail Blazers will add 232 points in tonight’s game. Meanwhile, the total is currently at 231.5. The AI Model implies that the Over has some value in tonight’s game.
Can Portland Earn Second Chances?
The Portland Trail Blazers are massive underdogs in this game. We’re not looking for the Blazers to destroy and put up a crazy amount of points. We just need them to play up to their average.
The Blazers won’t get the easiest looks against the Warriors. However, the Blazers are usually able to add a high rate of offensive rebounds. They’ve gained 31% of offensive rebounds per game and should be able to grab a handful in tonight’s game. Second chances will be a major factor for them.
Golden State Can Do The Same
The Warriors have become much better offensively with Jimmy Butler in the starting lineup. He’s made the Warriors versatile and has opened up the floor.
The offense still ranks 16th in points per 100 possessions, but this number continues to increase. In addition, the Warriors rank 6th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage. They’ll add a bunch of offensive rebounds against the Blazers, who rank 28th in defensive rebounding this season.
The Pick
Ride with the AI Model and back the Over.
NBA Pick: Trail Blazers/Warriors Over 231.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
New York Knicks vs. Sacramento Kings
Monday, March 10, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model predicts the Knicks and Kings will combine for 222 points. However, you can find the total at 218.5 at most sportsbooks. There’s lots of value on the over in this game as well.
The Brunson-Less Knicks
Due to a sprained ankle, the Knicks will be without Jalen Brunson for at least the next two weeks. Other guys will have to step up. But it’s absolutely possible. The Knicks rank 5th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions and have shot an effective field goal percentage of 56.3%.
That will be huge, especially since the Kings have still allowed a 55.1% effective field goal percentage on defense this season. Ultimately, the Kings are terrific on the defensive glass. But with Domantas Sabonis still out, the Kings certainly lack down low.
The Knicks could still add a handful of second chances and keep turnovers down.
The Kings Will Get Good Looks, Too!
The Sacramento Kings have scored 116.6 points per 100 possessions this year. They’ve also contributed a 54.7% effective field goal percentage. While this is an average rate, the Knicks have allowed a 55.3% effective field goal percentage. The Kings should still get quality looks from the field.
Plus, the Kings have only turned the ball over 13.2% of the time. Like the Knicks, it’ll be hard to force turnovers against them.
The Pick
Consider the Over 218.5 in this game.
NBA Pick: Knicks/Kings Over 218.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
