We’ve got a small slate of four games in the NBA. Still, the AI Model is showing some valuable plays on the board. Let’s check in with the AI Model and bet on three of its favorite wagers at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Nets/Cavaliers Under 228.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Bucks/Pacers Over 234.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Clippers -7.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Tuesday, March 11, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena
The AI Model predicts the Nets and Cavaliers will combine for 227 points. However, the total is currently 228.5, so the Under has some value ahead of this matchup.
Good Luck, Nets!
The Nets earned a win against the Los Angeles Lakers last night. Now they’re playing in the second game of a back-to-back tonight against the best team in the NBA. Good luck.
Ultimately, the Nets have scored only 109.1 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 51.9%. Brooklyn has also turned the ball over 16% of the time, which is another area the Cavaliers should exploit on defense tonight.
Brooklyn’s Pesky Defense
The Nets are certainly not the best defense in the NBA. They’ve allowed 116.7 points per 100 possessions. However, the Nets could be disruptive on defense. After all, this season, Brooklyn has forced nearly 16% of turnovers per game.
Cleveland has been strong with the ball and has only turned it over 12.8% of the time. But if that rate dips a little bit, the Nets’ defense should do enough to help keep this game under the total.
The Pick
Let’s roll with the Under 228.5 in this Nets-Cavaliers game.
NBA Pick: Nets/Cavaliers Under 228.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
Tuesday, March 11, 2025 – 07:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse
The AI Model thinks the Bucks and Pacers will add 235 points in tonight’s showdown. Meanwhile, Bet365 is carrying a total of 234.5. The system thinks the Over has some value tonight.
The Bucks Always Take Good Shots!
The Milwaukee Bucks have scored 115.6 points per 100 possessions. That’s slightly above average. However, they’re doing this by taking a high effective field goal percentage.
The Bucks have shot a 56.8% effective field goal percentage and don’t turn the ball over often. They’re not going to dominate the offensive glass, but they could have some opportunity since the Pacers have allowed 29.2% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
Can The Pacers Keep The Turnovers Down?
The Indiana Pacers have also shot a high effective field goal percentage this season. However, they’re facing a Bucks team that is typically better at defending shots.
That said, the Bucks are not very good at forcing turnovers. Milwaukee has added only 12.6% of turnovers, while the Pacers have given up just 13.2% of turnovers per game. As long as the Pacers keep turnovers down, they’ll get shots up and score consistently.
The Pick
Consider the Over 234.5 using the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Bucks/Pacers Over 234.5 (-110) at Bet365
Los Angeles Clippers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Tuesday, March 11, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center
The AI Model suggests the Clippers will escape the Pelicans, 116-108. That’s significant because the Clippers are at -7.5 against the spread at most sportsbooks. An eight-point win would certainly get the job done.
The Pelicans Are Back To Stinking!
The New Orleans Pelicans have had a poor season. Thanks to several injuries, they started off super slow. When Zion Williamson returned, the Pelicans started to play better, but more recently, the Pelicans have struggled again. They’ve been losers of four straight games ahead of this one.
In addition, the Pelicans rank 30th in defensive points per 100 possessions and have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 56.8%. Opponents have even grabbed 31.5% of offensive rebounds against the Pelicans.
The Clippers should be able to take advantage.
Los Angeles Can Defend!
The Los Angeles Clippers have limited teams to 110.7 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also held opponents to a 53.9% effective field goal percentage while adding nearly 16% of turnovers. In addition, teams have grabbed only 25.7% of offensive rebounds against the Clippers.
It’s hard to find sustained success on offense against the Clippers.
The Pick
Take the Clippers at -7.5 tonight.
NBA Pick: Clippers -7.5 (-110) at BetMGM
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
