There’s plenty of NBA on tonight’s schedule. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its three favorite bets of the slate. Here’s what you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies and Kings vs. Suns games!
Picks Summary
- Jazz -2 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Lakers +13.5 (-105) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
- Kings/Suns Under 235.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Toronto Raptors vs. Utah Jazz
Friday, March 14, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Delta Center
The AI Model believes the Jazz will win by three points tonight against the Raptors. Meanwhile, Utah is -2 against the spread. A three-point win would earn the cover.
It’s Hard To Trust Toronto!
The Toronto Raptors have only scored 111.2 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also shot a low effective field goal percentage and rarely get to the foul line. The Raptors are only good on the offensive glass. But even then, the Jazz have allowed just 27.6% of offensive rebounds.
If Toronto can’t dominate the glass, they can’t dominate this game. In addition, Jakob Poeltl and Jonathan Mogbo have already been ruled out. That’ll hurt them even more on the glass.
The Jazz Do The Little Things
The Utah Jazz aren’t much better on offense. However, they have still gained 31.2% of offensive rebounds and an above-average free-throw rate this season. Meanwhile, Toronto has allowed a 22.7% free-throw rate, one of the worst in the NBA.
I’d expect the Jazz to get to the foul line much more and also earn more second chances. That should be the difference.
The Pick
Rock with the Jazz at -2 here.
NBA Pick: Jazz -2 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets
Friday, March 14, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Ball Arena
The AI Model thinks the Nuggets will add a 121-111 win against the Lakers. LeBron James is currently listed as day-to-day but has already been ruled out for this one. Still, the AI Model thinks the Lakers have some value with Luka Doncic running the show. They’re currently +14 against the spread. Consider the Lakers here.
The Lakers Should Figure It Out!
The Los Angeles Lakers struggled against the Milwaukee Bucks, scoring only 106 points. Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves were the main contributors, but the rest of the lineup didn’t produce.
That should change against the Nuggets. The Nuggets rank 22nd in the NBA in points per 100 possessions and rarely force turnovers. Denver has also allowed a 54.5% effective field goal percentage, which should give the Lakers some quality looks tonight.
The Lakers Are The Better Defense!
The Los Angeles Lakers have held teams to 113.6 points per 100 possessions and have allowed just a 53.6% effective field goal percentage.
It won’t be easy defending Nikola Jokic and the Nuggets. After all, the Nuggets have shot a 57.9% effective field goal percentage. However, the Lakers are usually disciplined and don’t foul at a high rate.
The Pick
Roll with the Lakers at +13.5. They still have Doncic!
NBA Pick: Lakers +13.5 (-105) at BetMGM
Sacramento Kings vs. Phoenix Suns
Friday, March 14, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model suggests the Kings and Suns will combine for 234 points. However, the total is currently 235.5 at most sportsbooks. The best bet in this game is to take the under 235.5.
Sabonis Is Still Out!
The Sacramento Kings expected Domantas Sabonis to be back earlier this week. Instead, he’s not even available to play in tonight’s game. Sabonis is easily the best offensive player on the Kings, and his absence has already hurt the Kings as of late.
The Kings have lost four of their last five games and have scored no more than 110 points in each loss.
No Second Chances For The Suns!
The Phoenix Suns have added a 56.7% effective field goal percentage and will likely get some good looks in tonight’s game. That said, the Suns will still miss some shots and likely won’t be able to clean up on the glass when they miss.
After all, the Suns have gained just 24.6% of offensive rebounds per game, which ranks 28th in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Kings rank No. 1 in the NBA, allowing only 25.4% of offensive rebounds.
The Pick
The Under looks appealing right now.
NBA Pick: Kings/Suns Under 235.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
