There are only four games on the NBA slate tonight. However, there are still some good matchups that are worth considering. I used the AI Model to help find those plays.
Check out the best plays below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Nets/Celtics Over 215.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Bucks ML (-160) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Clippers +4.5 (-115) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics
Tuesday, March 18, 2025 – 07:30 PM EDT at TD Garden
The AI Model thinks the Nets and Celtics will add 217 points in tonight’s showdown. However, the total is currently set at 215.5. Consider the Over.
The Nets Still Compete
The Brooklyn Nets have 23 wins and won’t make the NBA Playoffs. That said, they’re still competing. The Nets almost returned from a 21-point deficit against the Celtics a few days ago.
Meanwhile, the Nets have added at least 110 points in three straight games. They’ve also had at least one team score 109 points in each of their last five games. Those numbers favor the over.
The Celtics don’t force a high rate of turnovers. If the Nets can get more shots up and limit those turnovers, they’ll have a poor percentage from the field but the more shots equal more points.
The Celtics Have A Huge Edge!
The Celtics struggled to hold off the Nets a few days ago, but using their offensive skills, they should be able to maintain their lead at home.
Boston has scored 120.7 points per 100 possessions while shooting an effective field goal percentage of 56.4%. The Nets rank 24th and 27th in those two categories, respectively, on defense. Brooklyn has also allowed one of the highest free throw rates in the NBA.
The Pick
Let’s ride the Over 215.5. Thank the AI Model when this ticket cashes in.
NBA Pick: Nets/Celtics Over 215.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors
Tuesday, March 18, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Chase Center
The AI Model believes the Bucks will escape with a three-point win over the Warriors tonight. It’s unlikely Stephen Curry plays, so Milwaukee certainly has the edge in this game. You can find the Bucks at -160 on the moneyline.
The Warriors Are Fatigued!
The Golden State Warriors just lost a game to the Nuggets, who didn’t have Nikola Jokic or Jamal Murray. It was embarrassing that Steve Kerr, the Warriors coach, admitted that Steph Curry could miss tonight’s game due to fatigue.
Without Curry, the offense will be in shambles. Golden State’s offensive efficiency, in points per 100 possessions, is still below average.
The Bucks Will Get Better Looks!
The Milwaukee Bucks have shot a 56.9% effective field goal percentage this season. That’s third in the NBA. They also rank 6th in free throw rate and should be aggressive enough to get there at least more times than the Warriors.
If the Bucks shoot a higher percentage from the floor and add a high rate of foul shots, they’ll earn the win on the road.
The Pick
Take a chance on the Bucks at -160.
NBA Pick: Bucks ML (-160) at Bet365
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Tuesday, March 18, 2025 – 10:30 PM EDT at Intuit Dome
The AI Model suggests the Clippers will only lose to the Cavaliers 116-114. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is +4.5 against the spread and would easily cover in this scenario.
Can The Clippers Get Stops?
The Cleveland Cavaliers are the NBA’s best offense. They’ve scored 123.3 points per 100 possessions and have shot a 58.6% effective field goal percentage. However, Evan Mobley is currently questionable, and the Cavaliers are also playing a difficult defense in the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Clippers will have a home-court advantage. They have also limited teams to 110.6 points per 100 possessions, making them among the few teams that analytically look good defensively against the Cavaliers. After all, the Clippers have allowed just 25.8% of offensive rebounds per game and likely won’t allow many second chances.
The Clippers Are Playing Well Offensively
The Clippers rank 19th in points per 100 possessions. But take a look at their last four games. The Clippers have won three straight and have scored at least 119 points in four straight. The offense should be able to add a high rate of offensive rebounds, and turnovers should be limited a little bit better.
If the Clippers can do those things, they’ll be a live dog tonight.
The Pick
Consider the Clippers at +4.5.
NBA Pick: Clippers +4.5 (-115) at BetMGM
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
