We’ve got a five-game slate in the NBA! While most people will be watching March Madness, don’t miss your opportunity to make some money in the NBA tonight. I’ve asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets. Here’s what you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Wizards/Knicks Over 223 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Bucks +2.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Bulls/Lakers Under 235.5 (-105) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Washington Wizards vs. New York Knicks
Saturday, March 22, 2025 – 08:00 PM EDT at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model predicts the Knicks and Wizards will score 224 points in tonight’s showdown. However, the total is currently only 223, so the over has some value in this one.
The Knicks Are Tired
The New York Knicks have been on the road for all but one game over the last couple of weeks. They’ll be home tonight but should be a little slow on the defensive end. After all, they’ve allowed at least 115 points in each of their last two games.
Shots Should Still Fall
The New York Knicks will be home at the end of the day. That should help the mental side of things. The Knicks have struggled offensively while on the road. They’re also without Jalen Brunson. However, the Knicks still rank 5th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions and shoot an effective field goal percentage of 56.1%.
The Wizards rank 29th in points per 100 possessions defensively and have allowed a 55.2% effective field goal percentage. Washington has also earned just 13% of turnovers and has allowed 29.8% of offensive rebounds. The Wizards have been everything but consistent.
The Pick
Grab the Over 223.
NBA Pick: Wizards/Knicks Over 223 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Sacramento Kings
Saturday, March 22, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model predicts the Bucks will escape the Kings, 114-113. However, the Bucks are actually +2.5 since Damian Lillard has been ruled out. The AI Model still likes the Bucks tonight.
No Lillard, No Problem!
The Milwaukee Bucks won’t have their starting point guard. Still, they’ll have Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyla Kuzma and other solid players on the team. The offense has shot an effective field goal percentage of 56.7% and will face a Kings defense that ranks 27th in that same category.
Milwaukee won’t dominate the glass, but it’ll get to the foul line consistently and keep turnovers down. That should be enough to at least cover a 2.5-point spread as the underdog.
The Kings Are Missing a Star too!
The Sacramento Kings won’t have Domantas Sabonis until April. The offense has struggled in his absence, scoring just 118 points against the lowly Bulls last time out.
The Kings should keep turnovers down but will likely struggle in all other areas. The Bucks rank 12th in defensive points per 100 possessions and have limited teams to a 53.5% effective field goal percentage.
The Pick
Take the Bucks at +2.5 and ride with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Bucks +2.5 (-110) at Bet365Â
Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Saturday, March 22, 2025 – 10:30 PM EDT at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model predicts the Lakers and Bulls will add 233 points in tonight’s late-night game. However, the total is currently at 235.5. The Under has the value.
The Bulls Aren’t Aggressive Enough!
The Chicago Bulls have scored 113.4 points per 100 possessions, which already ranks 20th in the NBA. They’ve shot a good enough effective field goal percentage but simply don’t do the little things. The Bulls have added only 24.5% of offensive rebounds and have earned a 16.8 free throw rate. That offensive free throw rate is dead last in the NBA.
Meanwhile, the Lakers have held teams to an 18-free-throw rate and allowed just a 53.7% effective field goal percentage.
Are The Lakers Healthy?
LeBron James could make his return to the hardwood tonight. Meanwhile, many other Lakers are questionable and could play in tonight’s game, including Austin Reaves.
The Lakers at full strength will be dangerous. But it still takes two to tango. The Bulls won’t do enough on offense to push this game over. Plus, a full-strength Lakers could be much better defensively than what they’ve shown recently.
The Pick
I’m on the Under 235.5.
NBA Pick: Bulls/Lakers Under 235.5 (-105) at BetMGM
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
