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BETTING

NBA Computer Picks for March 25: Can Portland Hang With Cleveland?

We’ve got an eight-game slate in the NBA tonight! There’s so much value on the board, so I asked the AI Model for its best three for the late-night slate. Let’s get right to it!

Picks Summary


Memphis Grizzlies vs. Utah Jazz

Tuesday, March 25, 2025  – 09:00 PM EDT at Delta Center


The AI Model thinks the Memphis Grizzlies will earn an eight-point win on the road against the Utah Jazz. However, you can get the Jazz at +10.5 via Bet365. There’s a clear value on the Jazz at home tonight.

Memphis Is Still Without Ja Morant

The Memphis Grizzlies are still without Ja Morant. He’s expected to be back later this month. However, the Grizzlies have since lost three straight games. They’ve also scored no more than 108 points in two consecutive games.

Utah will still give the Grizzlies many open shots. However, the Jazz have allowed only 27.6% of offensive rebounds and a 19.1% free-throw rate. If shots don’t fall, the Grizzlies will struggle to find consistent success.

Over the last couple of games, shots haven’t fallen on the road. That could be the same outcome on the road against the Jazz.

The Jazz Are No Better

The Jazz are no better on offense. But if both teams match each other defensively and struggle offensively, this game should still be tight and close.

Right now, the spread favors the Grizzlies by 10.5 points, which feels like too much with how the Grizzlies have played recently.

NBA Pick: Jazz +10.5 (-110) at Bet365


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings

Tuesday, March 25, 2025 – 10:00 PM EDT at Golden 1 Center


The AI Model predicts the Thunder will add an eight-point victory on the road over the Kings. However, the Kings are +10 against the spread and would cover in this scenario.

The Kings Must Dominate The Defensive Glass

The Oklahoma City Thunder are the real deal offensively. They’ve scored 120.6 points per 100 possessions and have turned the ball over the least in the NBA.

That said, the Thunder will be on the road against a Kings team that has held opponents to 25.5% of offensive rebounds.

If the Thunder struggle slightly on offense, they will struggle to gain many offensive rebounds and second chances, which plays well for the Kings.

The Kings Can Do The Little Things

It will be difficult for the Kings to succeed on the field. However, Sacramento has earned 28.1% of offensive rebounds and a 19.3% free-throw rate.

These are two areas where the Kings can take advantage of. After all, the Thunder have allowed 28.8% of offensive rebounds and a 21.3 free throw rate. These are both in the bottom 10 of the league.

Take a chance with the Kings at +10.

NBA Pick: Kings +10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Portland Trail Blazers

Tuesday, March 25, 2025  – 10:00 PM EDT at Moda Center


The AI Model predicts the Cavaliers and Trail Blazers will combine for 232 points. Meanwhile, the total is only at 229 via Bet365. You’ll want to consider the Over for this matchup.

Cleveland Is The No. 1 Offense!

The Cleveland Cavaliers are the No. 1 offense in the NBA. They’ve scored 123.2 points per 100 possessions and have added a 58.4% effective field goal percentage. Beyond that, the Cavaliers have only turned the ball over 12.7% of the time and have an edge on the glass and at the foul line against the Blazers.

Ultimately, the Blazers have allowed a 54.5% effective field goal percentage to go along with a super low defensive rebound rate and a high opponent free throw rate.

The Cavaliers should be elite on the offensive end in this game.

Portland Needs Those Second Chances

The Portland Trail Blazers need to earn offensive rebounds to stay in this game. Portland has only shot a 52.9% effective field goal percentage and has added 16% of turnovers, which is really high.

However, the Blazers have gained 31.8% of offensive rebounds, which is an area where the Cavaliers are below average defensively. If the Blazers limit turnovers slightly and add a high rate of offensive rebounds, Portland will at least stick around and help hit the over.

Take the Over in this game.

NBA Pick: Over 229 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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