There are plenty of intriguing games on tonight’s NBA slate. Therefore, I went right to the AI Model and asked for the three best bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks. Let’s get right to it!
Picks Summary
- Spurs -4 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Clippers/Suns Over 225.5 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Pelicans/Lakers Over 229.5 (-110) at Bet365
Brooklyn Nets vs. San Antonio Spurs
Tuesday, March 04, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center
The AI Model thinks the Spurs will add a 120-109 win against the Nets. However, the Spurs are just -4 against the spread. This is one of the largest margins I’ve ever seen using the system this season.
The Nets Take Bad Shots!
The Brooklyn Nets have shot an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%. That’s 26th in the NBA. In addition, the Nets have also turned the ball over 16.3% of the time, which is 29th in the NBA.
Brooklyn should be able to add some offensive rebounds. But the Nets still won’t shoot at a high percentage. In addition, the Spurs have held teams to the lowest free throw rate in the league. The Nets won’t see the foul line all that much tonight.
The Spurs Match Up Well!
The Brooklyn Nets are not very good on the defensive end. They have allowed 116.3 points per 100 possessions and an effective field goal percentage of 56.2%. The only area in which the Nets excel is the turnover department. However, the Spurs have limited turnovers to only 14% this season.
The Spurs should take advantage of the Nets’ fouling and get to the foul line way more consistently. They’ll also find way better looks throughout the game.
The Pick
Take the Spurs at -4.
NBA Pick: Spurs -4 (-110) at Bet365
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Phoenix Suns
Tuesday, March 04, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model suggests the Suns and Clippers will combine for 231 points. However, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the total at 225.5. The over is a tremendous value tonight.
Let The Clippers Cook!
The Los Angeles Clippers aren’t even close to being the best offense in the NBA. As a matter of fact, they’ve scored just 112 points per 100 possessions. However, they’re facing a Suns defense that ranks 27th in points per 100 possessions. The Suns have also forced just 12.4% of turnovers.
The Clippers tend to turn the ball over a lot themselves, but they should keep that turnover rate lower than usual going up against the Suns. That’ll only help put more points on the board.
Can The Suns Score Enough At The Foul Line?
The Phoenix Suns have scored 115.4 points per 100 possessions, which is above average in the NBA. They’ll face a tough defense in the Clippers, who have limited teams to a 53.9% effective field goal percentage.
Still, the Suns rank fourth in the NBA in free throw rate, while the Clippers rank below the average at 17th. If the Suns stay aggressive and consistently get to the foul line, they’ll score enough points to stay in the game and help the over to hit.
The Pick
Let’s roll with the AI Model and take the Over 225.5.
NBA Pick: Clippers/Suns Over 225.5 (-105) at Caesars Sportsbook
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Tuesday, March 04, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model predicts the Pelicans and Lakers will add 240 points in tonight’s ball game. However, the total is sitting at 229.5. That’s a massive difference. Consider backing the Over 229.5 in this one.
The Pelicans Look Great!
The Pelicans have won four of their last five games and have scored at least 124 in two of their last three. The offense is clicking behind Zion Williamson, who looks to be in the best shape of his career.
The Lakers typically defend well, giving up an effective field goal percentage of only 53.7%. However, the Lakers have also allowed 28.4% of offensive rebounds. The Pelicans can take advantage of the offensive glass and add many second chances.
New Orleans Is Still Dead Last On Defense!
The Pelicans still rank 30th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions on defense. The team has allowed a 56.6% effective field goal percentage and has given up nearly 31% of offensive rebounds.
The Lakers are typically efficient on the offensive glass, but if there’s any game that they will be, it’s this one.
The Pick
Let’s rock with the Over 229.5 here.
NBA Pick: Pelicans/Lakers Over 229.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
