We’ve got a loaded slate in the NBA! While most will be watching and betting on the NFL, you’ll still want to focus on the NBA. All profit is worth the same at the top-rated sportsbooks! Here are three NBA bets to consider for tonight’s slate using our AI Model.
Picks Summary
- Mavericks +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Grizzlies ML (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Raptors +10.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
Sunday, November 10, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Bal Arena
The AI Model believes the Mavericks will lose to the Nuggets, 118-114. However, the Mavericks are five-point underdogs, giving them some value on the betting board.
Dallas Protects The Ball!
The Dallas Mavericks have only turned the ball over 11.5% of the time. They’ve protected the ball, which has led to more field goal attempts. When you take more field goal attempts, you’ve got a higher chance of scoring more points.
Dallas isn’t elite on the offensive glass and likely won’t get to the foul line much against Denver. But the Mavericks will get good looks from the field. That should help keep them in this game as road underdogs.
Denver Could Be Shut Down
The Denver Nuggets are one of the league’s best offenses. This team has scored 118.7 points per 100 possessions and has added 32.7% of offensive rebounds with a high free-throw rate.
That said, the Mavericks have allowed just 108.4 points per 100 possessions and have done very well limiting high-quality looks.
The Pick
Grab the Mavericks at +5 on the road. This team should end up getting better looks throughout the game.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Sunday, November 10, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Moda Center
Our AI Model Grizzlies are expected to escape the Trail Blazers, 114-113, per our AI Model. Memphis is a -110 favorite. That’s the play!
Memphis Will Dominate Offensively!
The Memphis Grizzlies have already scored 118.2 points per 100 possessions. That ranks 6th in the NBA. Ultimately, the Grizzlies have shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.4% and have added 33.9% of offensive rebounds. They’re a difficult team to stop.
That said, Ja Morant and Desmond Bane are unavailable tonight with injuries. However, this team is deep enough to overcome those injuries.
Portland’s Offense Doesn’t Compare
The Trail Blazers aren’t nearly as good offensively. Portland has scored 107.1 points per 100 possessions, which is good for 29th in the NBA. The Blazers have also shot an effective field goal percentage of 49.1%, dead last in the league.
Beyond that, Portland has a free-throw rate of 18.4 and a turnover rate of 15.5%. The only thing the Blazers do well is rebound on offense. But even then, the Grizzlies have held teams to just 28.1% of offensive rebounds.
The Pick
Even on the road, I like the Grizzlies to do the job. The AI Model and I are on the same page.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies ML (-110) at Bet365
Toronto Raptors vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Sunday, November 10, 2024 – 09:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model has the Lakers defeating the Raptors, 123-113. However, the Raptors are 10.5-point underdogs and would cover the spread if they were to lose by ten. Grabbing Toronto at +10.5 is the best bet here.
Toronto Stuck Around In First Meeting
The Toronto Raptors lost to the Los Angeles Lakers on November 1, 131-125. The Raptors lost that game but still stuck around at home.
While they’re on the road tonight, the Raptors should still find success on the offensive glass. Toronto has earned 35.1% of offensive rebounds per game this season. The team has also added 113.8 points per 100 possessions, an average number. This team can score at a high rate to stick around against the Lakers tonight.
Can The Raptors Limit Fouls
The Toronto Raptors have fouled at a super high rate. They’ve allowed a free throw rate of 31.2. However, if they can minimize the fouls somewhat, they’ll do enough defensively in all other areas to stay in this game.
After all, the Toronto Raptors are just slightly below average in defensive effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage and offensive rebounding percentage. They’re not good in these areas, but they also won’t get beat badly in these areas, either.
The Pick
Let’s back the Raptors at +10.5. It’s hard to beat NBA teams by double-digits.
NBA Pick: Raptors +10.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
