There are five games on tonight’s NBA slate, including four that start at 8:00 pm ET. We’ve got time to get these bets in. But don’t wait too long or the lines might move! Using our AI Model’s predictions, here are three NBA bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Lakers -6.5 (-110)
- Spurs +10.5 (-110)
- Jazz/Kings Over 228 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Saturday, November 16, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center
The AI Model believes the Lakers will defeat the Pelicans 115-108. With the Lakers currently at -6.5, the best bet is taking the Lakers against the spread.
Expect Lots of Offense From Los Angeles
The Los Angeles Lakers have scored 118.3 points per 100 possessions. They’re elite at getting to the foul line and have shot a 55.9% effective field goal percentage with only 13.2% of turnovers.
Meanwhile, the Pelicans have allowed 118.6 points per 100 possessions and have given up a 56.7% effective field goal percentage defensively. Don’t be surprised if the Lakers offense looks championship-caliber tonight.
The Pelicans Aren’t On The Same Level
The Pelicans certainly don’t have the same offensive stats as the Lakers. New Orleans has scored 107.7 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 26th in the NBA. Beyond that, the Pelicans are 28th in effective field goal percentage, 20th in turnover percentage and 19th in free throw percentage.
New Orleans is dealing with many injuries, including Zion Williamson. Don’t expect this team to look great tonight.
The Pick
Let’s back the Lakers at -6.5 and side with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Lakers -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks
Saturday, November 16, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center
Our AI Model thinks the Spurs will only lose to the Mavericks, 119-110 on the road. You can pick up the Spurs at +10.5. There’s legitimate value with the Spurs tonight.
San Antonio Can Live On The Glass
The San Antonio Spurs have an average offense, scoring 112.8 points per 100 possessions. They take good shots and have an above-average effective field goal percentage. However, they’re slightly below average on the offensive glass.
Yet, that should change against the Mavericks, who rank 27th in allowing offensive rebounds. After all, the Mavericks have given up 30.4% of offensive rebounds per game. It’s more likely the Spurs live on the glass and score many second-chance points tonight.
Nothing Free For Dallas
The Mavericks have shot a better effective field goal percentage and have added a low turnover percentage. However, the team needs to be stronger on the offensive glass and even worse at getting to the foul line.
The Spurs should win the rebounding battle. Better yet, it’s very likely the Spurs will keep the Mavericks from getting to the foul line much. The Spurs have allowed just a 16.3 free throw rate this season.
The Pick
The Spurs shouldn’t be a double-digit underdog, even coming off a second game of a back-to-back.
NBA Pick: Spurs +10.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings
Saturday, November 16, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model recommends the Over 228 for this Utah-Sacramento game. It projects the Jazz and Kings will score a combined 229 points, but Caesars Sportsbook is carrying a total of 228.
Utah’s Offensive Momentum
The Utah Jazz have scored just 107.5 points per 100 possessions. This is below average. However, the Jazz have scored at least 111 points in four of their last five games and have played in games with at least 111 points scored by one team in every game.
The Jazz are still in the top ten on the offensive glass and getting to the foul line. Scoring points when the clock stops is an Over’s best friend.
The Kings WIll Have Their Way
The Sacramento Kings have scored 117.3 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also added a 55.7% effective field goal percentage and a turnover percentage of just 13.2%. The Kings should have their way, especially since the Jazz have allowed 119 points per 100 possessions this season.
Utah hasn’t defended particularly well, allowing a 55.7% effective field goal percentage on defense. The Jazz also don’t typically force many turnovers.
The Pick
The model is onto something with the Over 228. Grab it!
NBA Pick: Jazz/Kings Over 228 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
