The AI Model is heating up at the online sportsbooks! Therefore, I returned to the model, looking for three best bets for tonight’s NBA slate. Let’s get right to it!
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Hornets vs. Nets and Jazz vs. Lakers games!
Pick Summary
- Suns +5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Hawks +8.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Clippers +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Knicks vs. Phoenix Suns
Wednesday, November 20, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model believes the Suns will only lose 114-110 as five-point underdogs at home against the Knicks. Therefore, the Suns at +5 is the way to go.
Can The Knicks Find Success On The Road?
The New York Knicks have become one of the most consistent offenses in the NBA. But it’s always hard to be consistent on the road going from the East Coast to the West Coast.
The Knicks aren’t getting to the foul line much, and offensive rebounds will be hard to come by. The Suns allow just 25.4% of offensive rebounds per game. If the Knicks shoot poorly from the field or on the road, it’ll be hard for New York to find much rhythm offensively.
How The Suns Can Attack
The Phoenix Suns won’t have Bradley Beal or Kevin Durant. However, the team should still score at a high rate. After all, the Knicks have allowed teams to shoot an effective field goal percentage of 56% this season. New York has also earned just 12.6% of turnovers per game this season.
The Knicks can prevent offensive rebounds against the Suns. But chances are they won’t prevent the Suns from getting to the foul line much in this game.
Phoenix certainly has the edge despite being the underdogs. Nobody would be surprised if the Suns defeated the Knicks outright. After all, again, the Knicks will be far away from home and play their first West Coast game of this road trip.
The Pick
Grab the Suns at +5 and let’s cash in!
NBA Pick: Suns +5 (-110) at Bet365
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors
Wednesday, November 20, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center
Our AI Model thinks the Warriors will defeat the Hawks 123-115. That’s an 8-point win. However, the Hawks are +8.5. The value is with Atlanta in tonight’s late-night game.
The Hawks Do The Little Things Right
The Atlanta Hawks are already a slightly above-average offense, scoring 114.7 points per 100 possessions. They’ll likely struggle to get up great looks throughout the night. However, the Hawks can dominate the glass and earn foul shots. That will save them.
The Hawks have grabbed 30.7% of offensive rebounds, while the Warriors have allowed 29% of offensive rebounds. In addition, the Hawks have a 22% free-throw rate, while the Warriors have a 21.2% free-throw rate defensively.
Atlanta will do the little things right to stick around.
Can Atlanta Force Enough Turnovers?
The Atlanta Hawks have added 16.5% of turnovers per game this season. If they’re able to win the turnover battle on defense, that would give the Hawks more possessions and more opportunities to score.
With that, the Hawks should be able to escape with at least a cover.
The Pick
Let’s take a chance with the Hawks at +8.5.
NBA Pick: Hawks +8.5 (-110) at Bet365
Orlando Magic vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, November 20, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model recommends the Clippers at +2.5 at home since the model only thinks the Clippers will lose 105-104. Let’s back the home team.
Orlando’s Offense Won’t Score Enough
The Orlando Magic have scored just 110.4 points per 100 possessions. Their offense has added just a 51.7% effective field goal percentage and rarely succeeds on the offensive glass.
That’s not ideal, especially since the Clippers have allowed just 24.7% of offensive rebounds per game this season. In addition, the Clippers have held opponents to 110.9 points per 100 possessions, which is seventh in the NBA.
No Norman Powell
The Clippers will be without Norman Powell tonight. He’s been the leading scorer for the bunch this year.
That said, the Clippers will likely be more aggressive. After all, the Magic have allowed a free throw rate of 20.3. Los Angeles will want to take advantage of that and add points at the foul line instead of relying on their shots.
The Pick
Let’s grab the Clippers at +2.5 at home.
NBA Pick: Clippers +2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
