With nearly half of NBA teams playing tonight, there’s plenty of value on the NBA board. I asked the AI Model for its favorite three bets, and here’s what it came up with.
Picks Summary
- Bulls-Trail Blazers Over 235.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Clippers -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Wizards-Kings Over 233.5 (-110) at Bet365
Chicago Bulls vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Sunday, January 19, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model suggests Chicago and Portland will add 236 points in tonight’s contest. However, Caesars has set the total for this game at 235.5. That means the over is the play!
It’s Easy To Score On Portland!
The Portland Trail Blazers have allowed 118.6 points per 100 possessions on defense this season. Portland ranks 26th in effective field goal percentage, 30th in defensive offensive rebounding percentage, and 26th in defensive free throw rate.
The Bulls aren’t super effective on the offensive glass and don’t reach the foul line at a high rate. That could change in this game. However, what stands out the most is Chicago’s effective field goal percentage of 56%.
The Bulls should get a bunch of high-quality looks in this game. They won’t have to worry about offensive rebounding if it gets to that.
Portland Should Find Success, Too
The Blazers have been one of the worst offenses in the NBA this season. They’re only good for offensive rebounds, but the Bulls should be able to limit them on the offensive glass.
Still, Chicago has allowed 116.2 points per 100 possessions due to the lack of turnovers earned on the defensive end. If Portland can keep turnovers down against the Bulls, that’ll help get more shots up, which in turn, would help add more points.
Take the Over 235.5 at -115 NBA odds here.
NBA Pick: Over 235.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Sunday, January 19, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome
Our AI Model believes the Clippers will escape the Lakers in the battle for Los Angeles, 111-106. Yet, you can find the Clippers at -4 at Caesars. That’s value!
The Clippers Bring The Defense!
The Los Angeles Clippers have held teams to 108.5 points per 100 possessions. That’s the second-best defensive rate in the NBA.
Ultimately, the Clippers have limited teams to just 25.5% of offensive rebounds. That’s key, especially since the Lakers have added only 25.1% of offensive rebounds this season.
Meanwhile, the Lakers have shot an effective field goal percentage of 55% and frequently get to the foul line. However, the Clippers still rank in the top 15 in both categories and should limit the Lakers on that end of the floor.
Better Shots For The Clippers
Although the Clippers might not get to the foul line as often as the Lakers, they will likely get better looks.
This season, the Clippers have shot an effective field goal percentage of 54.5%, and the Lakers have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 55.5% to opponents.
That’s going to help the Clippers find success from the floor, so back the Clippers at -4, and thank the AI Model when this hits!
NBA Pick: Clippers -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings
Sunday, January 19, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model believes Washington and Sacramento will combine for 235 points despite this game being a potential blowout. Meanwhile, Bet365 is carrying a total of 233.5. The over also looks juicy in this game.
Washington Just Needs To Score Some Points!
The Washington Wizards won’t dominate on offense tonight. But if they can just stick to their averages and also play poor defense, like usual, the over is still a really good option.
After all, the Kings have still given up a 55.2% effective field goal percentage and a 20.7 free throw rate. These are two areas where the Wizards can take advantage of.
Washington has scored at least 106 in three consecutive games. If they can do that, I’d be confident that this game can get over.
The Kings Should Dominate On Offense
The over stems from the Kings’ potential. Sacramento has scored 116 points per 100 possessions and ranks fourth in turnover percentage. The Kings have shot an effective field goal percentage of 54.3% and have added 27.6% of offensive rebounds with a 19.7 free throw rate.
They match up well against the Wizards. Almost every team does. After all, the Wizards rank dead last in defensive points per 100 possessions and bottom five in all major defensive categories.
Take the Over 223.5. The Kings should put on a show offensively.
NBA Pick: Over 233.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
