We’ve got a fun five-game slate in the NBA tonight. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its best bets and provided them below with my own analysis. Let’s get to it!
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered today’s Lakers vs. Wizards and Magic vs. Trail Blazers games!
Picks Summary
- Timberwolves-Jazz Over 224 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Rockets-Grizzlies Over 238 (-110) at Bet365
- Trail Blazers +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Utah Jazz
Thursday, January 30, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
The AI Model believes the Timberwolves and Jazz will combine for 226 points. However, the total for this game is stuck at 224 via Caesars. The Over is the play.
Utah Doesn’t Defend!
The Jazz don’t understand the word defense.
The Jazz have allowed 118.4 points per 100 possessions and have given up a 55.4% effective field goal percentage this season. Even worse, the Jazz rank dead last in turnovers earned on defense, getting just 11.8% of turnovers.
Minnesota should be able to take advantage. They’ve got an average offense that has still shot a 55.1% effective field goal percentage this season. Minnesota still gets to the foul line at an above-average rate and has added nearly 28% of offensive rebounds. That should help.
Utah’s Second Chances Will Help!
The Jazz aren’t very good on offense, either. They’ve shot a 53.6% effective field goal percentage and have given up 17.7% of turnovers.
The Jazz have lost so much because of their turnover battle, which they have had game after game. However, these turnovers could also turn into fast-break points, helping the team.
Furthermore, the Jazz have still gained 31.2% of offensive rebounds. When the Jazz get shots up, they’ll have the chance to rebound misses and then score the second time.
I’m with the AI Model and like the Over 224 here.
NBA Pick: Over 224 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Thursday, January 30, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at FedExForum
The AI Model suggests the Rockets and Grizzlies will add 239 points in tonight’s showdown. Meanwhile, the total at Bet365 is currently 238. Again, the Over is calling our name!
Houston Needs To Stay Aggressive!
The Houston Rockets have never been an elite shooting team. They’ve added a 51.9% effective field goal percentage and will likely shoot just as bad in tonight’s game.
However, Houston is good at limiting turnovers and should dominate the offensive glass for second chances.
The Rockets have grabbed 35% of offensive rebounds, which ranks No. 1 in the NBA. In addition, the Grizzlies rank 22nd in defensive rebounding and have allowed a 20.7 free throw rate.
Houston needs to stay aggressive on the glass and get to the foul line quickly. These two things will help the offense dominate throughout the game.
Memphis Can Get Back On Track!
After a tough loss to the Knicks, the Grizzlies will likely return back to form at home against the Rockets. While Houston is a top-four defense, the Grizzlies are still a top-five offense and have grabbed 32.7% of offensive rebounds themselves this season.
Memphis has also shot a 56.4% effective field goal percentage and ranks 9th in free throw rate on offense. The Grizzlies will easily be able to keep up with Houston.
Take the Over 238 at -110 NBA odds in this game.
NBA Pick: Over 238 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Orlando Magic vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Thursday, January 30, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model believes the Magic will only defeat the Blazers by two points on the road. However, the Blazers are +5 at Caesars. Consider Portland against the spread in this spot.
Orlando’s Offense Isn’t Scary!
The Orlando Magic currently ranks 29th in points per 100 possessions and have added just a 51% effective field goal percentage this year. Orlando has also turned the ball over 15.5% of the time and is just average on the offensive glass, gaining 28.6% of offensive rebounds.
While facing a poor Portland defense, the Blazers have still added 15.1% of turnovers and should at least earn more stops, given Orlando’s poor shot-making ability this season.
Can Portland Take Advantage At The Foul Line?
The Blazers aren’t much better on offense, scoring 109.7 points per 100 possessions. Portland certainly won’t have it easy.
That said, the Magic have allowed a 22.5 defensive free throw rate, which ranks 29th in the NBA. If the Blazers can stay aggressive on the offensive glass and get to the foul line at a high rate, Portland should be able to stick around in this game, especially at home.
Let’s roll with the Blazers at +5.
NBA Pick: Trail Blazers +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
