There are nine games on the NBA slate tonight, including multiple matchups on NBA TV. Using our AI Model, I found three bets that make the most sense for tonight, with the best NBA odds we could find. Let’s get to it!
Picks Summary
- Bucks -12.5 (-110)
- Warriors -2.5 (-110)
- Hawks +7.5 (-110)Â
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Saturday, January 04, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum
The AI Model thinks the Bucks will earn a 121-108 victory over the Blazers tonight. With Milwaukee just -12.5 at Bet365, the Bucks are the play according to our AI Model. Damian Lillard will take on his former team and should be prepared.
Portland Can’t Keep Up!
The Portland Trail Blazers rank 27th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. They’re also 27th in effective field goal percentage and turn the ball over 16.7% of the time.
The Bucks likely won’t add a high rate of turnovers. However, the Bucks should do a good job limiting the Blazers from the field and won’t allow nearly as many second chances as the Blazers are used to.
The Bucks Should Have Elite Shot Making
The Milwaukee Bucks haven’t been perfect this season. But this is a perfect offensive matchup for them.
The Bucks have shot an effective field goal percentage of 56.7%, while the Blazers have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 56.2%.
Expect Milwaukee to shoot lights out from the field. Damian Lillard has already had two massive games against the Blazers in his career. He’ll be in line for a third.
Let’s take the Bucks at -12.5. This game should finish as a blowout.
NBA Pick: Bucks -12.5 (-110) at Bet365
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors
Saturday, January 04, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Chase Center
Our AI Model believes the Warriors will add a 119-115 victory over the Grizzlies at home. Golden State is only 17-16 on the season but is -2.5 at Bet365. They’re the play tonight.
The Biggest Key For The Warriors
The Memphis Grizzlies have one of the best offenses in the NBA. They score 118.2 points per 100 possessions and shoot an effective field goal percentage of 56.1%.
Beyond that, Memphis has tallied 32.4% of offensive rebounds, which is sensational. However, the one issue with Memphis is turnover.
The Grizzlies have turned the ball over 16.4% of the time, which ranks 26th in the NBA. On the other hand, the Warriors have recorded 15.1% turnovers. The Warriors will be in great shape if Golden State can bait Memphis into many turnovers.
Sneaky On The Glass
The Warriors simply don’t shoot it as well as the Grizzlies. However, Golden State is sneaky good on the offensive glass, earning 29.7% of offensive rebounds.
With Memphis allowing 28.1% of offensive rebounds, it’s reasonable to assume Golden State will add more second chances in this game.
With more turnovers forced and more second chances won, the Warriors should escape with this one and cover.
Roll with the Warriors at -2.5 per our AI Model.
NBA Pick: Warriors -2.5 (-110) at Bet365
Atlanta Hawks vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Saturday, January 04, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model suggests the Hawks will lose to the Clippers 118-111. However, the Hawks are +7.5 against the spread, so the Model expects to cover with a seven-point loss.
Atlanta’s Offense Is Good Enough!
The Atlanta Hawks have scored 113.7 points per 100 possessions. That’s 15th-best in the NBA and very average. Yet, the Hawks have grabbed 30% of offensive rebounds and have a free throw rate of 21.
Atlanta might not dominate the glass, but you can at least expect the Hawks to get to the foul line at a high rate. That should help keep the game close.
Lots of Turnovers Incoming!
The Los Angeles Clippers have scored only 110.3 points per 100 possessions and turned the ball over 16.9% of the time, which is 29th in the NBA.
On the other hand, the Hawks have gained 16.1% of turnovers. Expect the Hawks to add a lot of turnovers and limit possessions for the Clippers.
That should be enough to at least cover. The Hawks have a legitimate chance of winning outright, too. Let’s ride with the Hawks at +7.5.
NBA Pick: Hawks +7.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
