It’s already March! Let’s start the month strong with three best bets using our AI Model in the NBA.
Picks Summary
- Spurs +9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Mavericks +3.5 (-110) at Bet365
- 76ers +8.5 (-110) at Bet365
San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Saturday, March 01, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at FedExForum
The AI Model believes the Spurs will only lose to the Grizzlies, 125-116. That’s a nine-point difference, but the Spurs are +9.5. According to the model, the Spurs are expected to cover.
The Grizzlies Are Playing a Back-to-Back
Last night, the Memphis Grizzlies lost at the buzzer against the New York Knicks. It was a deflating loss when Memphis was leading most of the game.
They’ll likely be a bit drained after the defeat.
That said, the Spurs have still lost four straight games and no longer have Victor Wembanyama. They don’t have to win this game. We’ll just need the Spurs to cover a 9.5-point spread against a team that just played a hard-fought game last night.
The Spurs Can Limit Foul Shots
The Grizzlies have turned the ball over 15.9% of the time, which is one of the worst rates in the NBA.
The Spurs will want to take advantage of that. In addition, the Spurs have limited teams to a 15.4 free throw rate. That’s the best defensive number in the NBA.
They should cover if the Spurs increase their turnover rate and keep the Grizzlies off the foul line.
Rock with the Spurs at +9.5 and thank the AI Model when it hits!
NBA Pick: Spurs +9.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Dallas Mavericks
Saturday, March 01, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center
The AI Model suggests that the Bucks will defeat the Mavericks on the road by two. However, the Mavericks are +3.5 against the spread. Consider backing Dallas in tonight’s ball game.
Can Milwaukee Be Extra Aggressive Tonight?
The Milwaukee Bucks have scored 115.3 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also shot an effective field goal percentage of 56.8% and have turned the ball over just 13.3% of the time.
However, the Bucks have struggled on the offensive glass, adding only 21.5% of offensive rebounds. They’ll go up against a Mavericks team with many injuries at center. However, they’re starting to get healthier. If the Bucks don’t take advantage of the glass, it’ll be hard to get by the Mavericks.
After all, the Mavericks have still limited teams to a 52.9% effective field goal percentage, which is fifth-best in the NBA. The Bucks will need offensive rebounds, but they will likely not get them.
Dallas Scores at a Higher Rate
The Dallas Mavericks are the better offense. While you can argue that Luka Doncic helped the offense for Dallas, you have to remember that Doncic was injured and out for a lot of the season.
The Mavericks have still scored 116.3 points per 100 possessions, but they should also be able to limit turnovers. They’re typically more effective on the offensive glass and also get to the foul line more often.
Give me the Mavericks at +3.5.
NBA Pick: Mavericks +3.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Golden State Warriors vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Saturday, March 01, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Wells Fargo Center
The AI Model predicts the 76ers will lose to the Warriors 117-110. However, the 76ers are +8.5 via Bet365. According to our model, the value is all over the Sixers.
Does Philly Have Closure?
The Philadelphia 76ers have finally sidelined Joel Embiid for the remainder of the season. Ultimately, this could help the 76ers down the stretch. They won’t sit there and tank, knowing that they still have a chance to make the playoffs with the current roster.
In addition, the 76ers don’t have to worry about Embiid being a game-time decision all of the time. Since he’s finally out, this might give the 76ers some closure to the whole situation and let them play more together.
Philly Can Still Get To The Foul Line
The 76ers rank second in the NBA in free throw rate, while the Warriors rank 18th defensively. If the Warriors stay aggressive, they’ll get to the foul line plenty of times in this game.
Also, while the Warriors have increased turnovers by 15.3%, the 76ers have still limited turnovers to below 14%.
The 76ers should be able to stick around in this game and at least cover. Let’s roll with the 76ers in this spot.
NBA Pick: 76ers +8.5 (-110) at Bet365
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