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NBA Computer Picks for March 15: Can Spurs Keep It Close?

Blake Wesley San Antonio Spurs v Charlotte Hornets
Blake Wesley #14 of the San Antonio Spurs hangs on the rim after a dunk against the Charlotte Hornets. Ronald Cortes/Getty Images/AFP

The AI Model has been on fire in the NBA over the last few weeks. Let’s take advantage and add three more wagers using the AI Model for tonight’s slate.

Picks Summary


New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors

Saturday, March 15, 2025 – 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center


The AI Model predicts that the Knicks and Warriors will combine for 229 points in tonight’s game. However, the total at Bet365 is currently 227.5. The over is the play.

The Knicks Can Still Score Without Brunson

Although the New York Knicks might not have Jalen Brunson until the playoffs, they still rank fifth in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. New York has plenty of talent on offense and, with its versatility, can score against any team.

The Knicks have shot a 56.5% effective field goal percentage and should still get good looks against a Warriors team that has allowed a 54.2% effective field goal percentage. Plus, don’t be surprised if the Knicks consistently get to the foul line against Golden State.

Golden State Should Match!

Stephen Curry always enjoys playing the New York Knicks. He’ll like it even more after tonight. After all, the Knicks rank 24th in defensive effective field goal percentage. Curry and the Warriors don’t have a super high effective field goal percentage this season. But as of late, the Warriors have been way more efficient offensively since Jimmy Butler III came over.

Look for the Warriors to add a bunch of high-quality looks tonight and take the Over 227.5 at -110 NBA odds in this Knicks-Warriors game.

NBA Pick: Over 227.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


New Orleans Pelicans vs. San Antonio Spurs

Saturday, March 15, 2025 – 8:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center


The AI Model thinks the Pelicans will earn a four-point win on the road over the Spurs tonight. However, the Spurs are +5 and would cover in this scenario.

Are The Spurs Hopeless?

The San Antonio Spurs are likely in tank mode. Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox will no longer play this season.

Still, the Spurs’ defense can step up tonight. They’re facing a Pelicans offense that has scored only 110.8 points per 100 possessions.

The Pelicans also shoot a low effective field goal percentage and rarely get to the foul line.

Meanwhile, the Spurs have limited teams to the lowest free throw rate in the NBA. If the Pelicans get bad shots and don’t get to the foul line, they won’t be ahead by much, if by any.

Anyone Can Score On The Pelicans!

The New Orleans Pelicans currently have the worst defense in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 120.1 points per 100 possessions and have allowed a 56.8% effective field goal percentage.

In addition, the Pelicans rank dead last in defensive rebounding. The Spurs are typically good at preventing turnovers, which means they’ll take many shots, earn many second chances, and have an offensive field day.

I don’t care who plays for the Spurs. I’ll take them at home at +5.

NBA Pick: Spurs +5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Washington Wizards vs. Denver Nuggets

Saturday, March 15, 2025 – 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena


The AI Model suggests Washington and Denver will score just 225 points. However, the total is up to 238.5 at Bet365. According to our AI model, this is easily the most valuable play tonight.

Washington Is The Worst Offense In The NBA!

The Washington Wizards have scored just 106.7 points per 100 possessions this season. That’s easily the worst rate in the NBA this season.

Ultimately, Washington has shot an effective field goal percentage of 51.5% and has given up nearly 16% of turnovers. The offense can’t do anything right.

Meanwhile, the Nuggets have held teams to a 54.5% effective field goal percentage and rarely let teams get to the foul line consistently.

Denver Can’t Do All The Scoring!

The Denver Nuggets look much better offensively than Washington. But ultimately, it still takes two teams to score at least 239 points.

Washington ranks 29th in points per 100 possessions. However, the one thing the Wizards do better in is defensive effective field goal percentage. They’ve held teams to below a 55% effective field goal percentage.

If Washington can maintain that against the Nuggets, it will be able to at least limit Denver from scoring a high number of points. Take a chance on the Under 238.5 tonight.

NBA Pick: Under 238.5 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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