Tonight’s 11-game slate has plenty of intriguing value! Therefore, I went to the AI Model and found the best three bets for the slate. Let’s add some profit mid-week, just in time for March Madness.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Rockets vs. Magic and Cavaliers vs. Kings games!
Picks Summary
- Cavaliers-Kings Under 236 (-110)
- Grizzlies-Trail Blazers Over 235.5 (-110)
- Lakers +1 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Sacramento Kings
Wednesday, March 19, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model predicts that the Cavaliers and Kings will score 235 points in tonight’s matchup. However, the current total is 236. Consider the Under 236 in this game.
How The Kings Can Get Stops
It’s never easy to stop the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have scored 123.3 points per 100 possessions and currently lead the NBA.
In addition, the Cavaliers have led the NBA in effective field goal percentage, shooting 58.5% this season.
That said, the Cavaliers have gained only 27.8% of offensive rebounds, and the Kings have limited teams to a league-low 25.5%.
The Cavaliers are on a long road trip and could be fatigued. If they miss more shots than usual, it’ll be hard to add a high rate of offensive rebounds for second chances.
What About The Kings?
The Kings have scored 116.5 points per 100 possessions, which is seventh in the NBA. However, they have also shot an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%, which is slightly below average.
Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have held teams to a 53.1% effective field goal percentage, earning nearly 15% of turnovers. The defense has limited teams to 112.4 points per 100 possessions this season.
Beyond that, teams aren’t getting to the foul line at a high rate against Cleveland. That’ll hurt the Kings’ ability to score at a consistent rate.
Take the Under 236 in this Eastern-Western non-conference game.
NBA Pick: Under 236 (-110) at Bet365
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Wednesday, March 19, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model believes the Grizzlies and Blazers will combine for 236 points. However, the total is currently 235.5 via Bet365, so the over has some value in tonight’s showdown.
The Grizzlies Have a Huge Edge!
The Memphis Grizzlies have scored 118.8 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also added 32.7% of offensive rebounds and a free throw rate of 20.
The Blazers have given up 30.6% of offensive rebounds and have allowed a 21.1 free throw rate. Look for the Grizzlies to take advantage of these two areas and score rapidly.
The Blazers Should Earn Many Second Chances!
The Blazers have shot a 52.7% effective field goal percentage. That won’t help them score. However, the Blazers have earned 31.5% of offensive rebounds and should also earn many second chances.
Portland will easily shoot a lower percentage than Memphis, but the second chances should at least keep Portland within range.
Let’s back the Over 235.5 in this matchup. Both offenses can dominate the offensive glass.
NBA Pick: Over 235.5 (-110) at Bet365
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Wednesday, March 19, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena
The AI Model suggests the Lakers will win 118-115 over the Nuggets at home. LeBron James is out, but the model will trust Luka Doncic. After all, the Lakers are +1 against the spread and have lots of value.
Both Teams Are Dealing With Injuries
The Denver Nuggets didn’t play Christian Braun, Nikola Jokic, or Jamal Murray in their latest game against the Warriors. Ultimately, the Nuggets still won, but they’re certainly banged up when heading into this game.
Meanwhile, the Lakers won’t have LeBron James. It took some time for them to adapt to life without the King. However, they have now won two straight games and will be home tonight to attempt a third consecutive win.
The Lakers Can Get Stops
The Denver Nuggets are one of the best teams in the NBA. However, the Lakers have limited opponents to a 53.6% effective field goal percentage and allowed just a 17.9% free-throw rate.
The Lakers are one of the few teams with enough defense to get stops. Let’s take a chance with the Lakers at +1.
NBA Pick: Lakers +1 (-110) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
