The AI Model has been on a heater recently. Here are three more bets using the model for tonight’s six-game NBA slate.
Picks Summary
- Warriors-Nets Over 224.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Pelicans +4.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Lakers -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Golden State Warriors vs. Brooklyn Nets
Thursday, March 06, 2025 – 07:30 PM ET at Barclays Center
The AI Model thinks the Warriors and Nets will combine for 226 points. Meanwhile, the total is only at 224.5 at Caesars. The best play in this game looks like the Over.
The Warriors Should Dominate!
Since Jimmy Butler arrived, the Golden State Warriors have become a much better offense. The Warriors have won four of their last five games and scored at least 119 points in all five.
Meanwhile, the Nets have allowed 116.6 points per 100 possessions and a 56.4% effective field goal percentage on defense. The Warriors should capitalize.
Plus, the Nets have allowed 28.9% of offensive rebounds. Golden State has added 30.1% of offensive rebounds and will earn many second chances off their misses.
In addition, the Warriors don’t get to the foul line a lot. However, the Nets rank 27th in free throw rate on defense. It’s just another area where the Warriors can do better in tonight.
The Nets Do The Little Things
Brooklyn doesn’t have a super high effective field goal percentage. However, the Nets have added an above-average rate of offensive rebounds and free throw rate.
Those two areas should at least keep the Nets afloat offensively against the Warriors. The Nets are a 10.5-point underdog and aren’t expected to win. But as long as the Nets do the little things on offense, they’ll score enough points to help push this game over.
Back the AI Model and take the Over 224.5.
NBA Pick: Over 224.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Thursday, March 06, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center
The AI Model believes the Pelicans will only lose to the Rockets by two points at home. However, Bet365 has the Pelicans at +4.5 against the spread. Consider New Orleans in this spot.
The Pelicans Are Finally Home!
The New Orleans Pelicans went 2-2 on a four-game road trip. Now they’re home and have some momentum behind Zion Williamson.
The Pelicans have won three of their last five games and are starting to play better offensively game by game. They’re above average on the offensive glass and have only turned the ball over about 14% of the time.
Houston Still Won’t Get Good Shots!
The Pelicans have been one of the worst defenses in the NBA. However, the Rockets still can’t seem to get good looking shots.
The Rockets have shot a 51.5% effective field goal percentage, which is 28th in the NBA. It’s unlikely they’ll take advantage of New Orleans’ poor defense that has allowed a 56.7% effective field goal percentage.
Plus, the Rockets don’t have the edge regarding the foul line, either.
I’m riding with the Pelicans at +4.5.
NBA Pick: Pelicans +4.5 (-110) at Bet365
New York Knicks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Thursday, March 06, 2025 – 10:00 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model suggests the Lakers will earn a five-point win at home against the Knicks. Meanwhile, the Lakers are just -4 against the spread and would cover in this scenario. Back the Lakers at -4 via Caesars.
Will The Knicks Show Fight On The Road?
The New York Knicks have one of the better offenses in the NBA. However, they’re facing a Lakers team that has been solid defensively this season.
The Lakers have limited teams to 113.3 points per 100 possessions. They’ve also limited teams to a 53.7% effective field goal percentage.
Additionally, the Lakers have held teams to a 17.1 free-throw rate, which is fourth best in the NBA.
The Knicks should be able to reduce turnovers and add some offensive rebounds, but finding good shots will be difficult.
Quality Shots For The Lakers!
The Los Angeles Lakers have scored 115.9 points per 100 possessions. But most importantly, they’ve shot a 55.9% effective field goal percentage.
They’ll easily get better looks from the floor in this game. After all, the Knicks have allowed a 55.5% effective field goal percentage this season.
Ultimately, the Lakers also lead the NBA in offensive free-throw rate. While the Knicks typically do well keeping teams away from the foul line, the Lakers should still increase their shot attempts from the foul line.
Let’s back the Lakers at -4.
NBA Pick: Lakers -4 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
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