Tonight, the NBA schedule features eight games. I’ve reviewed each game using the AI Model and added some of the best bets on the slate. Check it out below!
Pick Summary
- Timberwolves -11 (-110) at Bet365
- Pistons-Trail Blazers Over 233 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Kings-Over 219 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Sunday, March 9, 2025 – 8:00 PM ET at Target Center
The AI Model believes the Timberwolves will win tonight’s game against the Spurs 122-110. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are -11 against the spread and would cover with a 12-point victory.
Give Minnesota’s Defense Some Credit
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank 5th in the NBA in points per 100 possessions on defense. They’ve allowed only a 53.2% effective field goal percentage and have limited teams to a 17.9 free throw rate.
The Timberwolves have even delivered 15.1% of turnovers.
Meanwhile, they’ll play a Spurs team that ranks below average in most offensive categories, shooting just a 54% effective field goal percentage.
This is a good matchup for the Timberwolves’ defense, especially at home.
Minnesota Has The Edge
On offense, the Timberwolves have a real edge. The Spurs are already without their defensive superstar, Victor Wembanyama. In addition, the Spurs rank 24th in points per 100 possessions allowed.
The Spurs have also given up a 54.9% effective field goal percentage and have added just 13.4% of turnovers. They are even worse on the defensive glass, giving up nearly 30% of offensive rebounds.
The Timberwolves have the pieces to take advantage.
This game could be a legitimate blowout. Take the Timberwolves at -11 at home. The Spurs are ultimately in tank mode now.
NBA Pick: Timberwolves -11 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Detroit Pistons vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Sunday, March 9, 2025 – 9:00 PM ET at Moda Center
The AI Model believes the Pistons and Trail Blazers will combine for 235 points. However, Caesars has this game listed with a total of 233. That means there’s plenty of value on the over tonight.
The Pistons Will Earn Many Second Chances!
The Detroit Pistons are already shooting an effective field goal percentage of 55%. That ranks 12th in the NBA, which is above average.
They’ll make a high rate of shots. However, when they don’t, the Pistons can clean up the glass. Detroit has added 29.6% of offensive rebounds, while the Blazers have allowed 30.5% of offensive rebounds on defense.
Portland also ranks 26th in defensive free-throw rate, so the Pistons may get to the foul line even more often than usual.
Can Portland Stay Aggressive?
The Portland Trail Blazers simply don’t shoot the ball well. They’ll struggle to make shots more than Detroit.
However, the Blazers have also added 31.1% of offensive rebounds and have potential at the foul line.
After all, the Pistons rank 25th in defensive free throw rate, allowing the Blazers to put points on the board with the time stopped.
The Over at -110 NBA odds makes sense in this game.
NBA Pick: Over 233 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Sunday, March 9, 2025 – 9:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model predicts the Kings and Clippers will add 224 points in tonight’s late-night matchup. However, Caesars is stuck with a total at 219. The over is a lot of potential tonight.
The Kings Are Very Balanced!
The Sacramento Kings have a very balanced offense. They’ve scored 116.7 points per 100 possessions, which ranks them seventh in the nation.
Ultimately, the Kings have shot a 54.7% effective field goal percentage and do a good job at limiting turnovers.
That will be important against the Clippers, who have added 15.7% of turnovers per game. If the Clippers can’t force turnovers and limit shots, the Kings will be able to find more ways to score some points.
The Clippers Will Also Get Good Looks
The Los Angeles Clippers aren’t even close to the Kings in offensive efficiency. However, they have shot a 54.5% effective field goal percentage.
This is notable because the Kings have allowed a 55.1% effective field goal percentage.
Los Angeles should be able to get many quality looks all night. The reality is that the Clippers won’t dominate the offensive glass, but against the Kings, it won’t be necessary.
Take the Over 219 in this game. It’s the best play on the board using our AI Model.
NBA Pick: Over 219 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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