With nine games on tonight’s NBA slate, the betting board has plenty of value. I made sure to use the AI Model for some help. Here’s where the AI Model stands for tonight’s action.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for additional NBA betting advice, featuring Magic vs. Hornets and Clippers vs. Celtics.
Picks Summary
- Knicks-Nuggets Over 233 (-110)
- Nets +12.5 (-110)
- Kings +4.5 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
New York Knicks vs. Denver Nuggets
Monday, November 25, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Ball Arena
The AI Model believes the Knicks and Nuggets will add 234 points tonight. However, at Caesars, the total is currently at 233. The value is clearly on the Over for tonight’s game.
New York’s Top Tier Offense
The New York Knicks rank third in the NBA in points per 100 possessions. They’ve scored 123.2 points per 100 possessions and rank third in the NBA in effective field goal percentage with 57.9%.
The Knicks might not see the foul line often. However, New York rarely gets there anyway and still ranks in the top three in points per 100 possessions.
Denver Can Keep Up!
The Denver Nuggets rank in the top ten in all major offensive categories. Denver has scored 116.8 points per 100 possessions and has added an effective field goal percentage of 55.3%.
The Nuggets have also gotten to the foul line at a high rate and continue to limit turnovers.
With the Knicks adding just 13% of turnovers and allowing a 56.5% effective field goal percentage, Denver should be just fine on offense tonight.
Let’s back the Over in tonight’s game.
NBA Pick: Over 233 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Brooklyn Nets vs. Golden State Warriors
Monday, November 25, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center
Our AI Model thinks the Nets will only lose to the Warriors, 117-106. That’s a margin of 11, but you can find the Nets at +12.5 via Caesars. The AI Model likes the Nets to cover the spread.
Don’t Sleep On The Nets
After a win last night, the Nets have shot a 55.7% effective field goal percentage. That’s good for 8th in the NBA. In addition, the offense continues to get to the foul line at a solid pace and has scored the 11th most points per 100 possessions this season.
Golden State is good at forcing bad shots. However, the Warriors aren’t so good on the defensive glass and still foul at a high rate.
Can Brooklyn Hold On?
The Nets have a solid offense but a terrible defense. Brooklyn has allowed 118.8 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 27th in the NBA.
The Nets are not defending shots very well and are struggling on the defensive glass. The one area that can keep them afloat is the foul-shooting. The Nets foul a lot, but the Warriors aren’t aggressive and don’t typically see the line often.
If the Nets limit fouls, they’ll hold on to at least cover. I’m with the AI Model. Take the Nets at +12.5.
NBA Pick: Nets +12.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings
Monday, November 25, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center
The AI Model thinks the Kings will only lose to the Thunder, 114-111 at home. That’s a three-point loss. However, the Kings are 4.5-point underdogs at Caesars.
No Second Chances For The Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder have scored 115.4 points per 100 possessions. The offense has limited turnovers to 11.4% and has shot an effective field goal percentage of 53.8%.
All of that is fine. However, the Thunder have earned just 24.7% of offensive rebounds and a 17.2% free-throw rate. These are super below-average numbers.
That said, the Kings have held teams to 26% of offensive rebounds and a 19.4 free-throw rate. If they can limit the Thunder in those two areas, the Kings will stay in this game.
The Free-Throw Line Is Key
The Kings are also a top-ten offense, scoring 115.7 points per 100 possessions. The Thunder are typically hard to score against, though.
Oklahoma City has allowed just 103.4 points per 100 possessions, which ranks first in the NBA.
Still, the Kings’ 21.9 free-throw rate ranks fourth in the NBA, while the Thunder rank 25th defensively in that same category. If the Kings stay aggressive on offense and get to the foul line at a high rate, they’ll stay and potentially win this game outright.
Let’s back the Kings at +4.5.
NBA Pick: Kings +4.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
