There are five NBA Cup games on the NBA slate tonight. Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its thoughts and favorite top three bets, with the best NBA odds we could find at top sportsbooks. Here goes nothing!
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the Bucks vs. Heat and Spurs vs. Jazz games!
Picks Summary
- Rockets/Timberwolves Over 220 (-110)
- Spurs ML (-150)
- Lakers +3 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Tuesday, November 26, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Target Center
The AI Model believes the Rockets and Timberwolves will combine for 223 points. However, at Caesars Sportsbook, the Over is currently sitting at 220. The Over is the play.
Houston’s Underrated Offense
The Houston Rockets probably don’t get enough credit for the offense. The Rockets have scored 115.2 points per 100 possessions and have turned the ball over just 12.4% of the time. They’re also super effective on the offensive glass.
The Rockets just need to take better shots and make more looks. Against the Timberwolves, that could happen. After all, the Timberwolves have allowed a 54.5% effective field goal percentage on defense.
Once the Rockets see some shots sink, they’ll be a really good offense.
Can Minnesota Keep Up?
The Timberwolves are also a top-12 offense, scoring 115 points per 100 possessions. The team might not get as many good looks as the Rockets. However, the Timberwolves are still aggressive on offense and should earn foul shots with the time stopped.
Minnesota has averaged a 20.4 free throw rate, and the Rockets have allowed a 20.9 free throw rate. Minnesota will likely win the free-throw battle and get up a lot of freebies.
I’ll take the Over 220 with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Over 220 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
Tuesday, November 26, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
Our AI Model thinks the Spurs will earn a 114-112 win over the Jazz tonight. At -150 on the moneyline, there’s value in the Spurs to win outright.
Utah’s Defense Isn’t Good Enough
The Utah Jazz have allowed 118.8 points per 100 possessions. While they’re coming off a win last game against the Knicks, the Jazz have been super inconsistent defensively, earning just 12.8% of turnovers per game this season.
The Jazz have also allowed a 55.7% effective field goal percentage and have given up 28.4% of offensive rebounds.
While the Spurs’ offense isn’t the most electric, San Antonio is back over .500 and playing its best ball this season. The offense has shot an average effective field goal percentage and continues to get to the foul line at a solid rate.
Keeping The Jazz off the Line
San Antonio has limited teams to 112.9 points per 100 possessions. This defense is really coming along behind Victor Wembanyama. That said, the Spurs have held teams to a 52.9% effective field goal percentage and a free throw rate that ranks second on defense.
The Jazz ultimately earn a lot of points at the foul line. But that likely won’t be the case in tonight’s game.
Take the Spurs at -150. They’ll stay above .500.
NBA Pick: Spurs ML (-150) at Caesars Sportsbook
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns
Tuesday, November 26, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Footprint Center
The AI Model likes the Lakers to lose by just one to the Suns in tonight’s showdown. However, the Lakers are +3 against the spread at Caesars Sportsbook. Los Angeles against the spread is clearly the way to go.
Scoring Won’t Be an Issue For Los Angeles
The Los Angeles Lakers have scored 117.6 points per 100 possessions. That ranks 5th in the NBA.
In addition, the Lakers have shot a 55.8% effective field goal percentage and have turned the ball over just 13.1% of the time. They’ve also got to the foul line at the highest rate in the NBA.
While Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal should be back in action tonight, the Suns have still allowed 116.7 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 21st in the NBA. This is due to allowing a 55.3% effective field goal percentage with only 13.1% of turnovers.
Don’t expect the Lakers to dominate the offensive glass. But they’ll do everything else right.
The Free-Throw Line Is Key
The Suns have averaged just 113.7 points per 100 possessions. However, having Kevin Durant back should only help.
Especially since the Lakers are one of the worst defenses in the NBA, Los Angeles has allowed 118 points per 100 possessions and has allowed a 55.8% effective field goal percentage.
Beyond that, the Lakers have also allowed 30.6% of offensive rebounds.
But Phoenix likely won’t get to the foul line nearly as much as the Lakers. The Lakers are also better at forcing turnovers. If the Lakers can do those two things better, they’ll likely win or cover the small spread. Take the Lakers at +3.
NBA Pick: Lakers +3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
