With Day 2 of the NBA Cup starting tomorrow, the NBA has only scheduled one game tonight. While it’s not the most appealing game, the AI Model shared some value with us.
Therefore, we’ll look to add a couple of bets for the Dallas Mavericks-Utah Jazz game below, as always, with the best NBA odds from our top sportsbooks.
The AI Model believes the Dallas Mavericks will add a 120-111 win over the Utah Jazz. Oddly enough, the Mavericks are 9-point favorites, with the total currently at 231 via Bet365. Therefore, the model and Bet365 are in line with their projections.
I’ll add analytics below for this game and decide which side has the better value before game time.
NBA Pick: Mavericks – 9 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz
Thursday, November 14, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
Dallas Has More Strengths
The Dallas Mavericks have scored 115.8 points per 100 possessions, which is good for 10th in the NBA. Dallas’ effective field goal percentage is also good for 10th in the NBA. The Mavericks have shot an efficient 55.6% effective field goal percentage this season.
In addition, the Mavericks have only turned the ball over 12% of the time, which is third-best in the NBA.
But while the Mavericks do those things well, Dallas hasn’t had the same success on the offensive glass or getting to the foul line. Don’t expect the Mavericks to see the foul line much tonight. After all, the Jazz have held teams to a 17.7 free throw rate.
However, that’s the only thing the Jazz are good at defensively. Utah ranks in the bottom ten in points per 100 possessions, effective field goal percentage, turnover percentage, and offensive rebounds percentage on the defensive end.
Dallas has the potential to earn more second-chance points and offensive rebounds, which would only help them achieve a large margin.
Will The Foul Shots Be Enough For Utah?
The Utah Jazz have been poor offensively this season. Utah has scored 106.2 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 29th in the NBA.
They’ve shot an effective field goal percentage of 50.2% and have turned the ball over the most in the NBA per game.
The Jazz are good at earning offensive rebounds and should easily win the foul shot battle. Utah’s 23.6 free-throw rate is the third-best in the NBA.
The Jazz have also added 30.4% of offensive rebounds, which ranks 10th in the NBA.
Still, Utah will not enjoy trying to get open looks. At the end of the day, the Mavericks have held teams to a 52.5% effective field goal percentage. That’s important, especially when going up against a Jazz team that hasn’t delivered a high effective field goal percentage all year.
The Pick
Therefore, I like the Mavericks to escape with a double-digit win on the road. P.J. Washington and Luka Doncic are questionable. But the Mavericks already won’t have to worry about Walker Kessler’s presence inside. He’s hurt and already out for this game.
That’ll give the Mavericks more chances at earning rebounds and blowing this game open.
Take the Mavericks at -9. That’s the best play on the board.
NBA Pick: Mavericks – 9 (-110) at Bet365
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