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NBA Computer Picks for October 24: Mavericks to Cover Spread Over Spurs

Dereck Lively Dallas Mavericks v Memphis Grizzlies
Dereck Lively II #2 of the Dallas Mavericks reacts after scoring a basket against the Memphis Grizzlies. Ron Jenkins/Getty Images/AFP

Only four games are on the NBA slate, including two matchups slated for TNT tonight. Still, there’s plenty of value on the board, so I quickly went to the AI Model to find the best bets for tonight. 

Here are the top three bets you’ll want to consider for tonight’s NBA slate for October 24, with the best NBA odds we could find at top sportsbooks.

Picks Summary


San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks

Thursday, October 24, 2024 – 07:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center


Our AI Model believes the Mavericks will defeat the Spurs 120-111. However, at Caesars, the Mavericks are only eight-point favorites. That means there’s value in the Mavericks against the spread.

Will Chris Paul Change The Spurs?

The San Antonio Spurs are heading into Year 2 of Victor Wembanyama leading the team.

While Wembanyama has a lot of hype around him, he doesn’t have much of a supporting cast.

Will he really benefit from Chris Paul at point guard? Can he really make plays with Harrison Barnes and Jeremy Sochan as his other players?

San Antonio isn’t nearly as good as some people are hoping.

Irving & Doncic Can Co-Exsist

When the Mavericks acquired Kyrie Irving, there were questions about Doncic and Irving playing together.

Many analysts didn’t expect them to get along. But instead, the Mavericks went to the NBA Finals with Doncic and Irving.

Expectations are high.

Dallas no longer has Derrick Jones Jr, who went to the Clippers. However, the Mavericks brought in Klay Thompson to fill the shooting void they had on last year’s squad.

Thompson has playoff experience and is a really great fit for the Mavericks.

NBA Computer Pick

Our AI Model likes the Mavericks at -8, and I totally agree.

NBA Pick: Mavericks -8 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets

Thursday, October 24, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena


Our AI Model has the Nuggets knocking off the Thunder 115-112 at home. With the Nuggets currently sitting as a 2-point favorite, Denver also has some value against the spread.

Losing Hartenstein Hurts

The Oklahoma City Thunder rarely spend in free agency. However, the Thunder recognized their need for a center and splurged on Isaiah Hartenstein, only for him to get hurt before the regular season.

Hartenstein will eventually play for the Thunder and give them good minutes. But the Thunder’s only need was having a formidable center to help keep Chet Holmgren at the 4. Now, that’s not a thing again.

That’s going to hurt the Thunder in games against top-tier opponents.

Don’t Sleep On The Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets no longer have Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. However, the team has decided to start Christian Braun at shooting guard and have the newly added Russell Westbrook come off the bench.

Beyond that, the Nuggets have an interesting bench that includes Julian Strawther, Peyton Watson, and Dario Saric. This could be the deepest bench in the NBA.

NBA Computer Pick

Denver has one of the best players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic, and one of the best second units in the league. That’s going to be really beneficial. Take the Nuggets in Game 1 of their season.

NBA Pick: Nuggets -2 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Sacramento Kings

Thursday, October 24, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center


The last AI Model prediction is that the Kings will earn 111-110 wins over the Timberwolves. Minnesota already lost to the Lakers earlier on Tuesday, and now the AI Model believes they’ll lose again tonight.

It Will Take Some Time For Minnesota

The Timberwolves’ roster is stacked and will only get better over time. However, you’ll need to be patient.

Minnesota already lost its first game to the Lakers on Tuesday. In that game, the Timberwolves shot just 41.2% from the floor and hit only 31.7% from three.

Additionally, Minnesota forced seven turnovers and committed 16. They also hit only 74.1% from the foul line.

Overall, Minnesota didn’t start the season very well. They were on the road in that one and will have to stay on the road for this one.

One Final Ride For Sacramento

The Sacramento Kings have done some perfect things. It’s unlikely the core players will stick together much longer. So there’s certainly some urgency.

The Kings added DeMar DeRozan from the Bulls and now have a formidable roster with Keon Ellis, Malik Monk, and Trey Lyles all coming off the bench.

The Kings are deep and have legitimate leadership with DeRozan now. Sacramento is a sleeper at the beginning of the year.

NBA Computer Pick

Back the Kings to complete the job at home per our AI Model.

NBA Pick: Kings ML (-105) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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