We’ve got another ten-game NBA slate tonight. With so many games and lots of potential bets, we asked the AI Model for its thoughts on the slate. It came away with three best bets, which we’ll share below with the best NBA odds available.
Picks Summary
- Toronto +13.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Spurs ML (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Lakers ML (-125) at Bet365
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
Saturday, October 26, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Target Center
Our AI Model likes the Raptors to only lose to the TImberwolves, 120-111. However, the Timberwolves are 13.5-point favorites at home via Bet365. Per the AI Model, the Raptors should keep this game close enough to cover against the spread. The Model only believes it’ll be a nine-point deficit.
The Toronto Raptors Are Fine!
The Raptors have many players on the injured list right now. However, through two games, the Raptors still totaled 46.7% offensive rebounds and a 39.9% free-throw rate, which are among the top two numbers in the NBA.
Toronto will need to limit turnovers, which they haven’t done. However, Minnesota is dead last in turnovers forced to begin the year. Something’s got to give.
Minnesota Looks Average Offensively
Using analytics and metrics, the Timberwolves have been an average offense through two games. The team might get to the foul line more against Toronto, but don’t expect a high effective field goal percentage or more offensive rebounds.
The Raptors have allowed just 26.1% of offensive rebounds and a 55.1% effective field goal percentage. The Raptors can hold their own tonight.
NBA Computer Pick
Take Toronto at +13.5. This is too many points. I’m with the AI Model.
NBA Pick: Toronto +13.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs
Saturday, October 26, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center
Our AI Model has the Spurs earning a 121-115 win over the Rockets tonight. However, the Spurs are +105 against the Rockets at Caesars. The AI Model will rarely have a team favored by six points, but the books will have that same team as the underdog. Let’s take advantage!
San Antonio Can Keep The Rockets Off The Foul Line!
The San Antonio Spurs struggled in their opening game against Dallas, losing 120-109. But the best part of that game for the Spurs was their ability to keep the Mavericks off the foul line. They allowed a 15.4% free-throw rate, which is already the fifth-best in the NBA.
In addition, the Spurs held Dallas to a 53.3% effective field goal percentage. That’ll come in handy against a Rockets team that has had a low effective field goal percentage since last season.
Can Spurs Deliver On The Offensive Glass?
The Spurs didn’t particularly shoot it well against Dallas in the opening game. However, the Rockets allowed 36.2% of offensive rebounds in their first two games of the season against Charlotte and Memphis.
If San Antonio cleans up its misses, the Spurs should have a much higher point total on the scoreboard.
NBA Computer Pick
I’m with the AI Model and will take the Spurs at +105.
NBA Pick: Spurs ML (+105) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Sacramento Kings vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Saturday, October 26, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena
The AI Model likes the Lakers to add a 123-115 win over the Kings tonight. This would give the Lakers their third win in as many games to begin the season. That said, the Lakers are only -125 on the moneyline but are expected to win by eight per our model. The value is all over Los Angeles here.
The Lakers Are Already 2-0
The Los Angeles Lakers have a lengthy injury report. Yet, they’re 2-0 behind J.J. Reddick after earning a win over the Phoenix Suns last night.
The Lakers have already played two home games to start the year and will get another one tonight. That’s an excellent schedule to begin the season.
They’ll take on a Kings team that watched the Timberwolves shoot 40% from three in their first game of the season.
Don’t sleep on Los Angeles, especially at home. LeBron James already told the media he plans on playing every game, barring an injury.
Sacramento Really Isn’t Deep
The Kings have only played one game to this point, so they’ll be more fresh. However, this team doesn’t have much depth.
We saw this against the Timberwolves in their first game. Sacramento had just five players reach double figures, and no other player had earned more than three points. It’s the Sabonis-DeRozan-Murray show. DeAaron Fox already admitted he wants out of Sacramento when his contract is up, too.
This year could be an odd down year for this group.
NBA Computer Pick
I agree with the AI Model on selecting the Lakers for tonight’s game.
NBA Pick: Lakers ML (-125) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
