With only four games on tonight’s NBA slate, there’s not much to choose from. However, there are still some very valuable bets per our AI Model.
Here are the top three bets you’ll want to consider for tonight, with the best NBA odds we could find at top sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Rockets-Mavericks Over 225.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Spurs +2 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Clippers +5 (-110) at Bet365
Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
Thursday, October 31, 2024 – 08:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center
The AI Model believes the Rockets and Mavericks will combine for 228 points. However, at Caesars, you’ll find a total of 225.5. According to the model, the Over is undoubtedly the play in this game.
Rockets Can Do The Little Things Well
Houston isn’t shooting the ball particularly well this season.
However, the Rockets have added 35.8% of offensive rebounds and have only turned the ball over 12.8% of the time.
In addition, the Mavericks have allowed a 26.2 free throw rate, meaning there’s a good chance the Rockets get to the foul line at a high rate in this game.
The shooting will get better but the little things will be more than enough to put points on the board consistently.
Even More Second-Chance Points For Dallas
If you think the Rockets will have fun on the offensive glass, wait until you watch the Mavericks.
Dallas has only added 27.5% of offensive rebounds per game this season. However, the Rockets have allowed 35.2% of offensive rebounds and are the worst defensive rebounding team in the NBA.
So while the Rockets will get stops, the Mavericks should see extra volume in this one. That’ll help them stick around with Houston on the scoreboard.
The AI Model believes the Over 225.5 has value and I do, too.
NBA Pick: Over 225.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazz
Thursday, October 31, 2024 – 09:00 PM ET at Delta Center
Our AI Model likes the Spurs to at least keep things close against the winless Utah Jazz. The Jazz are expected to win by one, but the Spurs are +2 against the spread at Caesars. Backing San Antonio is the play in this spot.
Spurs Match Up Well
The San Antonio Spurs have only scored 103.5 points per 100 possessions. San Antonio hasn’t been excellent on offense.
However, the Spurs will face a Jazz defense that has allowed 118.6 points per 100 possessions. Utah doesn’t send teams to the foul line, but the Jazz hardly play defense. That’s why opponents have shot a 55.5% effective field goal percentage against them this season.
The Spurs should also dominate the offensive glass, as the Jazz have allowed 32.8% of offensive rebounds this season.
San Antonio’s Defense Should Prevail
The Spurs have held opponents to a 52.4% effective field goal percentage. That’s good for 11th in the NBA and an above-average rate.
On the other hand, the Jazz have shot a 45.2% effective field goal percentage, which is the worst rate in the NBA.
Even at home, the 0-4 Jazz should struggle from the field. While they’re good at earning second chances, the Spurs are above average on the defensive glass.
Let’s back the Spurs at +2.
NBA Pick: Spurs +2 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Thursday, October 31, 2024 – 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome
The AI Model thinks the Clippers will only lose to the Suns at home by four points tonight. With Los Angeles sitting at +5 per our AI Model, you’ll want to back Los Angeles tonight against the spread.
Los Angeles’ Defense Is Key
The Clippers have held opponents to 106.4 points per 100 possessions. They’ve added 16.3% of turnovers, but more importantly, they’ve held opponents to 24.6% of offensive rebounds.
That’s major since the Suns have only grabbed 19.4% of offensive rebounds. Ultimately, Phoenix has shot the ball very well. But what happens when the Suns have an off night on the road in a challenging environment?
Los Angeles Should Add More Second Chances
The Suns are playing nearly identical defense. However, the Clippers are at least more active on the offensive glass. With more second chances, if both teams shoot the same percentage but the Clippers add more shots, they’ll win this game.
With the Clippers at +5, even if Los Angeles doesn’t win, as long as they keep the game within reach, they’ll win against the spread.
I’m with the AI Model and like the Clippers at +5.
NBA Pick: Clippers +5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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