We’ve got a massive college basketball slate on the horizon today. With college football season wrapping up, many people will focus on college basketball more now. Today is the perfect time to get into college basketball. Here are three bets you’ll want to consider using our AI Model.
Picks Summary
- Dayton -1.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Gonzaga -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Oklahoma -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Dayton Flyers
Saturday, December 14, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at UD Arena
The AI Model thinks Dayton will escape Marquette at home by two points. At the top sportsbooks, you’ll find Dayton at -1.5. A two-point win would certainly get the job done for the Flyers.
What If Marquette Doesn’t Shoot Well?
The Marquette Golden Eagles have shot 33.9% from deep and 59.5% from inside the arc. They’ve been a super consistent offense all year, especially with only 13.3% of turnovers per game.
However, Dayton has held teams to 31.4% from three and 50.9% from inside the arc. What if Marquette struggles from the field at some point in the game?
It could get dangerous. Dayton has allowed only 23.6% of offensive rebounds and has limited teams from the foul line. Meanwhile, Marquette isn’t dominating the offensive glass and isn’t getting to the foul line at a high rate.
Those are two areas where Dayton can outperform Marquette on defense.
Dayton’s Offense Is Also Better
The Dayton Flyers have shot 39.2% from deep and 57.5% from inside the arc. They’re also much better at getting to the foul line and have kept turnovers down like Marquette.
Ultimately, Marquette makes a living with turnovers on defense. But it’s hard to imagine Marquette adds 24.5% of turnovers against a team like Dayton.
Dayton will likely hold on and get the win against the spread.
NCAAB Pick: Dayton -1.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. UConn Huskies
Saturday, December 14, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model thinks Gonzaga will pull away with a three-point win in the Hall of Fame Series in New York City. Gonzaga is a 2.5-point underdog. That’s the play.
Gonzaga Can Take Advantage At The Foul Line
The Gonzaga Bulldogs have the No. 2 ranked offense in the nation. Gonzaga has shot a 54.9% effective field goal percentage while shooting 33.7% from deep, 57.3% from inside, and 81% from the foul line.
Not only is Gonzaga shooting super well at the foul line, but there’s a good chance the Bulldogs will get there often. After all, the UConn Huskies rank 342nd in FTA/FGA this season on defense.
Gonzaga’s Three-Point Defense Is Way Better
The UConn Huskies have scored 36.3% points from downtown this season. They’ve also added a super high rate of three-point shots. But that won’t work out well going up against a Gonzaga defense that has held opponents to 24.9% from downtown this year.
Gonzaga won’t force many turnovers. However, the Bulldogs will be effective on the defensive glass and will get stops when defending the three.
I like the Bulldogs to escape with a win. The Huskies aren’t nearly as good as other years.
NCAAB Pick: Gonzaga -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Saturday, December 14, 2024 – 08:00 PM ET at Paycom Center
The AI Model suggests Oklahoma will add a five-point win against Oklahoma State. The Sooners are 9-0 and looking to continue their undefeated streak in this rivalry game. At -4.5, the Sooners are the play against the spread.
Oklahoma State Can’t Defend!
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have allowed teams to shoot a 54.4% effective field goal percentage. Opponents have hit 35.5% from deep and 55.4% from inside the arc this year. Additionally, the Cowboys have allowed teams to get to the foul line at an above-average rate this season.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma has gotten to the foul line at an above-average rate and has shot 36.5% from deep and 57.4% from inside the arc.
Another reason Oklahoma has been so successful is the foul line. This season, the Sooners have shot 80.5% from the charity stripe.
Stopping The Three-Ball
The Oklahoma State Cowboys have scored more than 27% of their points from deep. That’s not a lot of points, but it’s a good enough portion.
The Oklahoma Sooners have allowed just 28.6% from downtown this season. The team has also forced 22.4% of turnovers and has added 15.3% of steals. Those 15.3% of steals rank third in all of college basketball.
That should help the margin of victory. Take Oklahoma at -4.5 here.
NCAAB Pick: Oklahoma -4.5 (-110) at Bet365
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