Five top-25 teams are playing in tonight’s college basketball slate. I asked the AI Model for its best bets for those games and picked the best three to share below.
Let’s cash in!
Picks Summary
- Duke -23.5 (-110)
- Arizona State +16.5 (-110)
- Oklahoma +9.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
California Golden Bears vs. Duke Blue Devils
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Cameron Indoor Stadium
The AI Model predicts Duke will earn an 83-59 win over California at home in tonight’s ACC matchup. Meanwhile, Duke is a 23.5-point favorite and would still cover against the spread. Let’s ride with the Blue Devils!
How Will California Score?
The California Bears have shot a 48.3% effective field goal percentage while hitting 31.6% from deep and 48.8% from inside the arc.
California has allowed 10.9% of blocked shots on offense this season.
The Golden Bears are usually impactful on the offensive glass and getting to the foul line. However, Duke is disciplined on defense and has allowed just 26.2% of offensive rebounds with a low FTA/FGA ratio.
If California misses shots, the Golden Bears won’t get second-chance opportunities like they’re used to.
Duke Should Dominate
According to KenPom, the Blue Devils have the nation’s No. 5 offensive rating. Duke has shot 37.4% from deep and 56.9% from inside the arc. The Blue Devils have also hit 76.9% from the foul line and have limited turnovers to 15.2%.
Duke doesn’t consistently get to the foul line like California, but it should add a lot of second-chance points against the Golden Bears.
Let’s take Duke at -23.5 in a projected massive blowout win.
NCAAB Pick: Duke -23.5 (-110) at Bet365
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at United Supermarkets Arena
The AI Model suggests Arizona State will lose to Texas Tech, 80-64. However, Arizona State is a 16.5-point underdog, which would still cover this 16-point loss. Therefore, consider adding Arizona State at +16.5.
The Foul Line Is The Key!
The Arizona State Sun Devils don’t have an elite offense. However, the team has still added a 51.1% effective field goal percentage and gets to the foul line at an above-average rate.
Meanwhile, Texas Tech’s FTA/FGA ratio ranks 194th in the nation. There’s reason to believe Arizona State can get to the foul line more often than Texas Tech.
That would at least help keep them in the game.
Don’t Sleep On Arizona State’s Defense!
Although the Arizona State Sun Devils have not had much success in recent games, their defense has still limited teams to 30.6% from three and 48.9% from inside the arc.
Plus, Texas Tech really doesn’t get to the foul line often. The Red Raiders have better scorers, but those scorers will be challenged.
I’ll side with Arizona State at +16.5.
NCAAB Pick: Arizona State +16.5 (-110) at Bet365
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Missouri Tigers
Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Mizzou Arena
The AI Model believes Oklahoma will lose to Missouri by nine points on the road. However, Oklahoma is a 9.5-point underdog on the road, so the Sooners would cover with a nine-point loss.
Oklahoma Can Shoot From Downtown!
The Oklahoma Sooners have shot an effective field goal percentage of 55.5% this season. That’s good for 30th in all of college basketball.
Ultimately, Oklahoma has nailed 37.1% from downtown and 55.4% from inside the arc. However, the Sooners have also drilled more than 80% from the foul line.
It might be hard to score inside against Missouri. However, the Tigers have still allowed 34.2% from downtown this season. Oklahoma already shoots three-pointers at an above-average rate and could take advantage from downtown in this game.
Plus, Oklahoma isn’t normally aggressive on the offensive glass. That said, Missouri has allowed 31.4% of offensive rebounds. There’s reason to believe Oklahoma ends up with more offensive rebounds in this game.
Can Oklahoma Limit Fouls?
The Missouri Tigers have recorded a 55.8% effective field goal percentage this season. They’ve limited turnovers well and added nearly 33% of offensive rebounds.
The Tigers have also hit 37.5% from deep and 55.6% from inside the arc this season. That being said, Oklahoma has limited teams to 28.8% from downtown. The Sooners will prevent Missouri from shooting it well from downtown.
In addition, Missouri is No. 2 in the nation in FTA/FGA. The Sooners must limit fouls at home and keep Missouri away from the foul line. That seems likely.
Ride Oklahoma at +9.5 and -110 betting odds.
NCAAB Pick: Oklahoma +9.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
