Tonight’s college basketball slate is loaded! Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its best three bets on the later portion of the slate. Take a peak below and tail along!
Picks Summary
- Auburn -16.5 (-110)
- Alabama +1.5 (-110)
- St. John’s-DePaul Under 143.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers
Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Neville Arena
The AI Model believes Auburn will win 85-68 over Arkansas at home tonight. Meanwhile, Auburn is -16.5 against the spread. Auburn would cover with a 17-point win if the model’s scenario plays out.
Arkansas’ Offense Isn’t Reliable!
The Arkansas Razorbacks have an above-average offense that has shot an effective field goal percentage of 52.8%.
However, the Razorbacks are facing an Auburn defense that has held teams to 29.8% from deep and 45.2% from inside the arc. It won’t be easy for Arkansas to find good looks.
In addition, the Razorbacks have earned only 27.8% of offensive rebounds. The second chances won’t be there off the misses against Auburn.
Auburn Can Flat Out Score!
The Auburn Tigers currently rank No. 1 in offensive adjusted efficiency, per KenPom. They have nailed 37.3% of their shots from deep and 56.4% from inside the arc. In addition, Auburn has turned the ball over just 13.1% of the time.
Auburn is also much better on the offensive glass and also a tad better at the foul line.
Auburn is super hard to beat in its home building. Let’s roll with the Tigers at -16.5.
NCAAB Pick: Auburn -16.5 (-110) at Bet365
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers
Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Mizzou Arena
The AI Model predicts Missouri will escape Alabama with an 85-84 win at home. However, Alabama is +1.5 against the spread. The Crimson Tide would still cover despite a heartbreaking loss on the road.
Alabama’s Top-3 Offense
According to KenPom, the Alabama Crimson Tide offense is currently ranked third in the nation. Ultimately, Alabama has struggled to consistently hit from downtown but has still nailed 60.3% from inside the arc.
In addition, Alabama has tallied 36.7% of offensive rebounds, which will be useful against a Missouri defense that has allowed 31.3% of offensive rebounds.
The Crimson Tide might miss some shots from deep, but they will grab plenty of second chances in this one.
We Can Trust Alabama’s Defense More!
Alabama won’t force many turnovers. However, the Crimson Tide have still held teams to 29.8% from deep and 47.3% from inside the arc. These are way better numbers than Missouri, especially from three-point range.
Don’t expect Missouri to add as many offensive rebounds. Plus, both teams should get to the foul line consistently.
Alabama is just better at defending and rebounding. That’ll be key tonight. Stick with the AI Model and take Alabama at +1.5.
NCAAB Pick: Alabama +1.5 (-110) at Bet365
St. John’s Red Storm vs. DePaul Blue Demons
Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Wintrust Arena
The AI Model suggests St. John’s and DePaul will finish with 143 points combined tonight. However, the total is currently at 143.5 at Bet365. The Under has some value in this one.
Can St. John’s Dominate The Offensive Glass?
The St. John’s Red Storm have only shot an effective field goal percentage of 49.2%. Ultimately, that’s a below-average rate and nothing to get excited about.
The Johnnies have nailed only 29.3% from three and 51.6% from inside the arc. They’ve been able to score more efficiently because of few turnovers and many offensive rebounds.
The Red Storm should be able to limit turnovers against DePaul. However, earning offensive rebounds on the glass could be hard. The Blue Demons have held teams to 27.9% of offensive rebounds and have also kept teams off the foul line at a high rate.
With fewer second chances, St. John’s could see a lower total tonight.
Don’t Count On The Blue Demons
The DePaul Blue Demons have shot 34.1% from deep and 53.2% from inside the arc. While these numbers are better than St John’s, let’s not forget how good the Red Storm are defensively.
St. John’s has limited teams to a 46.6% effective field goal percentage and has added 22.1% of turnovers with only 28.7% of offensive rebounds allowed.
DePaul will have no answers offensively. Take the Under 143.5 at -110 betting odds in this one.
NCAAB Pick: Under 143.5 (-110) at Bet365
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