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NCAA Basketball Computer Picks for February 23: Hoyas Hang Tough

Jordan Burks Georgetown Hoyas v Creighton Bluejays
Jordan Burks #23 of the Georgetown Hoyas reacts during the second half against the Creighton Bluejays. Timothy Nwachukwu/Getty Images/AFP

The AI Model has been crushing with college basketball throughout the season. Let’s see what it’s got in store for us today. Here are three college basketball best bets using our AI Model.

Picks Summary

  • UCLA -6.5 (-110)
  • Arizona State-Kansas State Over 145.5 (-110)
  • Georgetown +13.5 (-110)

*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


Ohio State Buckeyes vs. UCLA Bruins

Sunday, February 23, 2025 – 03:45 PM ET at Pauley Pavillion


The AI Model believes UCLA will escape Ohio State with a 73-66 win at home. Meanwhile, UCLA is -6.5 against the spread at most sportsbooks. They’d cover with a seven-point win.

Ohio State Has Lost Two Straight

The Ohio State Buckeyes have lost two consecutive home games against Michigan and Northwestern.

The Michigan loss is explainable. The loss to Northwestern, 70-49, isn’t.

The Buckeyes have struggled on the offensive glass and will likely turn the ball over more today. After all, they’re going up against a UCLA defense that ranks second in the nation in defensive turnover percentage.

UCLA Can Win At The Foul Line

The Bruins actually haven’t shot a better effective field goal percentage than Ohio State throughout the season.

However, UCLA likely finds the foul line a lot in this game. For one, they’re home. Secondly, Ohio State ranks 327th in FTA/FGA on defense.

The Bruins are also more efficient inside the arc and should add more offensive rebounds in this game.

That said, UCLA lost at home to Minnesota last time out. Neither UCLA nor Ohio State has much momentum heading into this one. However, UCLA is still 10-6 in conference play and has won eight of its last ten games.

They’re the better team, especially at home. Take a chance with the Bruins, thanks to our AI Model.

NCAAB Pick: UCLA -6.5 (-110) at Bet365


Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Sunday, February 23, 2025 – 04:00 PM ET at Bramlage Coliseum


The AI Model suggests Kansas State will add a six-point win over Arizona State, 76-70. However, the total for this game is stuck at 145.5. Our Model believes we’ll get 146 points. Therefore, the Over is the play.

Can Arizona State Add More Offensive Rebounds?

The Arizona State Sun Devils have shot a 51.9% effective field goal percentage. This is an above-average number. It’s just that the Sun Devils are typically unable to add a bunch of offensive rebounds and second chances.

That could change today.

Kansas State has allowed 33% of offensive rebounds and has become one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the Big 12 this season.

If Arizona State adds more offensive rebounds, that’ll help them earn more points down the line.

Kansas State Is Consistent From The Field

The Kansas State Wildcats have had instances where they’ve looked like the best team in the country. They’ve got guys who can score anywhere on the floor.

That’s why they’ve hit 34.8% from deep and 52.8% from inside the arc. Both of these numbers are above average, and I’d expect them to hit against an Arizona State defense that still ranks below the top 50 in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Take the Over 145.5 at -110 betting odds in this game.

NCAAB Pick: Over 145.5 (-110) at Bet365


Georgetown Hoyas vs. Creighton Bluejays

Sunday, February 23, 2025 – 04:00 PM ET at CHI Health Center Omaha


The AI Model thinks Creighton will earn a 78-66 win over Georgetown tonight. However, Georgetown is +13.5 against the spread. The AI Model thinks Georgetown will at least cover against the spread.

Creighton Won’t Force Turnovers

The Creighton Bluejays have only forced 12% of turnovers per game. That ranks 361st in all of college hoops.

Ultimately, Georgetown has given up 18.3% of turnovers. But if that turnover rate drops a bit, Georgetown will have more possessions and more shot attempts, which usually means more points.

Creighton Could Have a Harder Time Inside

Georgetown has a reliable defense. The Hoyas have held teams to an effective field goal percentage of 47.3%.

They’ve also earned 20.7% of turnovers and limited teams’ access to the foul line. Most importantly, teams have shot just 45.2% from the field against Georgetown this season.

That’s huge, knowing Creighton has shot over 60% from inside the arc this season. It likely won’t be so easy for Creighton around the rim.

I’ll take a chance with Georgetown at +13.5.

NCAAB Pick: Georgetown +13.5 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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