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BETTING

NCAA Basketball Computer Picks for February 26: Johnnies Take Control

Rj Luis Jr of St John's Red Storm v Depaul Blue Demons
RJ Luis Jr. #12 of the St. John's Red Storm cheers against the DePaul Blue Demons. Michael Reaves/Getty Images/AFP

We’ve got a loaded slate in college basketball tonight! I’ve picked out three best bets using the AI Model and shared them below. Let’s have a night!

Picks Summary


Kentucky Wildcats vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Wednesday, February 26, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Lloyd Noble Center


The AI Model believes Kentucky and Oklahoma will combine for only 161 points tonight. However, the total is stuck at 162.5 at Caesars. Consider the Under in this game.

Can Kentucky Dominate From Three?

The Kentucky Wildcats have shot a 56.4% effective field goal percentage and have limited turnovers below 15%. The Wildcats have drilled 37.9% from downtown and 56.1% from inside the arc.

Kentucky shouldn’t have any problems inside. However, Oklahoma has still limited teams to 29.9% from downtown.

Kentucky may struggle from three, on the road, against Oklahoma.

Oklahoma Won’t Be Better From Three

Kentucky is just as good as Oklahoma at defending the three. The Wildcats have allowed just 29.3% from downtown this season.

In addition, the Wildcats have limited teams to 27% of offensive rebounds. That’s big news since Oklahoma has only earned 27.5% of offensive rebounds per game this season.

With few second chances and potentially harder three-point shots, it’ll be hard for the Sooners to rack up points against the Wildcats.

Kentucky has also blocked 12% of shots this season, while Oklahoma has been blocked 11% of the time. Don’t be surprised to see a lot of shots blocked by Kentucky in this game.

Let’s ride the Under 162.5 between Oklahoma and Kentucky. When this hits, you can thank the AI Model!

NCAAB Pick: Under 162.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)


St. John’s Red Storm vs. Butler Bulldogs

Wednesday, February 26, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse


The AI Model suggests St. John’s will earn an eight-point road win over Butler. At Bet365, you’ll find the Johnnies at -7.5. An eight-point win would be huge in this scenario.

St. John’s Will Have Plenty of Chances!

The St. John’s Red Storm offense is not the most effective. They shot a 49.5% effective field goal percentage, hitting only 30.2% from deep and 51.4% from inside the arc.

That said, they’ll be able to limit turnovers and get a lot of opportunities. Butler has only forced 11.2% of turnovers, which is one of the worst rates in all of college basketball.

With a low turnover rate, the Johnnies will take a lot of shots and earn plenty of possessions.

How Will Butler Score?

Butler is a good three-point shooting team. The Bulldogs also consistently get to the foul line. However, those two numbers could plummet against the Red Storm.

St. John’s has limited teams to a 46.4% effective field goal percentage, allowing only 29% of offensive rebounds with a 30.2 FTA/FGA ratio on defense.

Butler won’t take advantage of the glass and will easily struggle in the turnover department. I’m on the Johnnies at -7.5 and -110 NCAAB odds.

NCAAB Pick: St. John’s -7.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)


BYU Cougars vs. Arizona State Sun Devils

Wednesday, February 26, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Desert Financial Arena


The AI Model thinks Arizona State will lose by four points at home to BYU. However, the Sun Devils are +4.5 against the Cougars tonight. Arizona State would cover if that were to happen.

Arizona State From Downtown!

The Arizona State Sun Devils just knocked off Kansas State on the road in their last game. Now they’ll try and take that momentum with them against BYU.

Ultimately, the BYU Cougars have allowed teams to hit nearly 35% from downtown this season.

That’s huge, especially since Arizona State has drilled 35.8% from downtown this season. The Sun Devils have added about 37% of points from downtown this season and take plenty of threes. Getting open looks against BYU will be massive at home.

BYU Won’t See The Foul Line

The BYU Cougars have shot very well from the floor throughout the season. They’ve got the fourth-highest effective field goal percentage in the nation.

That said, BYU hasn’t been getting to the foul line much and shoots below 70% from the stripe this season.

The lack of foul shots could hurt down the stretch on the road against Arizona State. Let’s take a chance with the Sun Devils at home.

NCAAB Pick: Arizona State +4.5 (-110) at Bet365

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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