While tonight’s college basketball slate isn’t super exciting, there are still some good spots to attack. We asked the AI Model for its best plays, and it came out with these three best bets. Check them out below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Bryant/Drexel Under 151.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Miami (OH) -6.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Washington State +11.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Bryant University Bulldogs vs. Drexel Dragons
Monday, December 02, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Daskalakis Athletic Center
The AI Model believes Bryant and Drexel will combine for 151 points tonight. However, the Under is currently at 151.5. That’s the play.
Drexel Will Slow Things Down
While the Bryant Bulldogs like to move quickly, Drexel is good at keeping things slow.
Drexel has only earned 12.9% of turnovers. That’s not ideal. However, it means that Drexel stays in front of the other team’s offense and isn’t trying to earn turnovers. They just like to make things difficult for their opponents and force tough shots.
It’s worked so far this season. Opponents have hit just 31.9% from three and 50% from inside the arc against Drexel. They’re not trying to add a bunch of turnovers and move quickly.
Drexel Uses Lots Of Time On Offense
Not only will Drexel try to slow down Bryant, but the Dragons will also slow themselves. Drexel has used about 19 seconds per possession and kept turnovers below 18% this season.
In addition, Drexel’s slow offense means more shots and less aggressiveness. Drexel isn’t getting to the foul line at a very high rate. That should help the Under.
The Pick
Take the Under 151.5 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Bryant/Drexel Under 151.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Air Force Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Monday, December 02, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Millett Hall
The AI Model thinks Miami (OH) will add a 7-point win against Air Force at home tonight. With Miami (OH) at -6.5, the value is solely on the RedHawks.
There Will Be Lost Possessions For Air Force
The Air Force Falcons might be disciplined off the court, but they’re not on the court. Air Force has turned the ball over 18.8% of the time and earned just 25.3% of its offensive rebounds.
While the Air Force can get good looks, the Falcons will lose possessions due to mistakes. Beyond that, Air Force has only hit 64.6% from the foul line this season, which ranks 318th in college basketball.
Ultimately, Miami (OH) has earned 22.1% of turnovers and has limited teams to 29.2% of offensive rebounds. These two stats should help propel Miami (OH) on defense.
It All Comes Down To Three-Point Shooting
The Miami (OH) RedHawks have nailed 35.2% from deep and 55.4% from inside the arc. They’re not getting to the foul line much and aren’t efficient on the offensive glass.
However, the RedHawks are still shooting it well from three, hitting 35.2% from downtown. Miami (OH) takes many threes and continues hitting them at a high rate. With the Air Force allowing teams to shoot 38.2% from three, Miami (OH) will likely nail a bunch of threes tonight.
The Pick
Grab Miami (OH) at -6.5 here.
NCAAB Pick: Miami (OH) -6.5 (-110) at Bet365
Washington State Cougars vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
Monday, December 02, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Lawlor Events Center
The AI Model thinks Nevada will add an 80-69 win over Washington State. However, Washington State is an 11.5-point underdog and has value in tonight’s late-night matchup.
Washington State Can Shoot It!
The Washington State Cougars have hit 34.4% from three and 59.3% from inside the arc. While it won’t be easy against Nevada’s defense, the Wolf Pack have fouled at a super high rate and aren’t elite on the defensive glass.
This is where Washington State can take advantage. The Cougars have grabbed 34.8% of offensive rebounds, while Nebada has allowed 29.5%. In addition, Washington State turns the ball over a lot. But that rate could dip, knowing Nevada has added just 17.1% of turnovers themselves this season.
Foul Shooting Could Hurt Nevada
The Nevada Wolf Pack are a dangerous offense. They’ve nailed 46.6% from three and get to the foul line at a super high rate.
The problems are, for one, it’s hard to imagine Nevada hitting 46.6% from three the rest of the season. Secondly, the team has nailed just 66.5% from the foul line despite getting there often. That’s not ideal.
The Pick
Consider Washington State at +11.5.
NCAAB Pick: Washington State +11.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
