We’ve got some high-profile college basketball games on tonight’s slate. Therefore, I rushed to the AI Model to ask for its favorite three bets on tonight’s slate. Get the value while it’s still there.
Below are three bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks. And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice on these games.
Picks Summary
- Nebraska -1.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Memphis/South Florida Under 151.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Gonzaga -14.5 (-105) at BetMGM (check out BetMGM Review)
Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Thursday, February 13, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Pinnacle Bank Arena
The AI Model predicts Nebraska will earn a two-point win at home over Maryland. Meanwhile, Nebraska is -1.5 against the spread. A two-point win would be enough.
Can Nebraska Get Enough Stops?
The Maryland Terrapins are a very good offense. The Terps have shot 36.8% from deep and 54.3% from inside the arc while giving up just 14.7% of turnovers.
That said, Nebraska’s defense at home is usually very special. The Cornhuskers have already limited teams to a 49.7% effective field goal percentage. Meanwhile, Nebraska has also limited teams on the glass and foul line on the defensive end.
Don’t expect Maryland to see the foul line very often in this game.
Can Nebraska Do Enough Inside The Arc?
The Cornhuskers haven’t shot it well from downtown this season. That rate could improve at home. But ultimately, Nebraska will want to score inside. The Cornhuskers already know they’ll struggle to add offensive rebounds and second chances. The easier looks inside will be better.
That said, Nebraska has hit 54.2% from inside the arc and has earned more fouls per game. If Nebraska can keep turnovers down against a pesky Maryland team at home and take good looks inside, they’ll come away with the win.
The Pick
Ride Nebraska at -1.5.
NCAAB Pick: Nebraska -1.5 (-110) at Bet365
Memphis Tigers vs. South Florida Bulls
Thursday, February 13, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Yuengling Center
The AI Model believes Memphis and South Florida will combine for 151 points. However, the total is currently sitting at 152. That means the Under has the most value in this game.
Turnovers Will Hurt Memphis!
I say this every week, and it’s true: the Memphis Tigers have a turnover problem. Memphis can shoot lights out. Still, the issue is that there’s a turnover every five possessions, which limits Memphis’ ability to shoot and score.
Plus, South Florida has added nearly 18% of turnovers per game and has kept teams to 31.4% from downtown. The Bulls have a good enough defense to keep Memphis below its averages.
Memphis Will Be Alright On The Defensive Glass
The one area that usually stings Memphis is the defensive glass. The Tigers have allowed 34.6% of offensive rebounds per game this season. However, South Florida has grabbed only 27.9% of offensive rebounds and isn’t a huge threat on the offensive glass.
Plus, South Florida has only shot 33% from deep and 53.1% from inside the arc. These aren’t numbers to get excited about.
The Pick
Consider the Under 152 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Memphis/South Florida Under 151.5 (-110) at Bet365
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Thursday, February 13, 2025 – 11:00 PM ET at McCarthey Athletic Center
The AI Model believes Gonzaga will add an 84-69 win over San Francisco tonight. Since Gonzaga is -14.5 against the spread, the model believes the Bulldogs will cover with a 15-point victory. Consider Gonzaga here.
Can Gonzaga Stop San Francisco’s Three-Point Shooting?
The San Francisco Dons have shot 34.7% from downtown this season. They’ve also hit 55% from inside the arc. But ultimately, 35.5% of points come from downtown.
The Dons shoot many threes but could struggle since Gonzaga has limited teams to 29.7% from downtown. In addition, San Francisco has gained only 29.4% of offensive rebounds. That’s a below-average rate and won’t help against a Bulldogs team that has limited teams to 26.1% of offensive rebounds.
Gonzaga Has Lots Of Firepower!
The Gonzaga Bulldogs might not find a rhythm from downtown, either. However, the Bulldogs typically take more shots from inside the arc and have hit those shots 57.4% of the time. In addition, the Bulldogs have drilled over 80% from the foul line and have also limited turnovers to 13.6%.
Gonzaga does everything better than San Francisco. Gonzaga is likely to get to the foul line often since San Francisco ranks 224th in FTA/FGA on defense.
The Pick
Ride Gonzaga at -14.5.
NCAAB Pick: Gonzaga -14.5 (-105) at BetMGM
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