There are many exciting games in college basketball today! Therefore, I asked the AI Model for its best three bets of the night. Here’s what you should consider before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- Creighton +6.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Iowa/Maryland Under 158.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Notre Dame +7.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Creighton Bluejays vs. St. John’s Red Storm
Sunday, February 16, 2025 – 03:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model believes St. John’s will earn a 74-68 win over Creighton at home today. However, Creighton is a 6.5-point favorite. A six-point loss would still allow Creighton to cover. Consider Creighton at +6.5.
Creighton Is The Much Better Offense!
The Creighton Blue Jays rank 19th in college basketball in effective field goal percentage. The Blue Jays have added 34.4% from three and 60.4% from inside the arc. Although St. John’s is good at defending inside the arc, Creighton should still be a handful.
Don’t expect the Johnnies to hold Creighton to 43.9% from inside the arc, even at home in Madison Square Garden.
St. John’s Won’t Reach The Foul Line Much!
The St. John’s Red Storm have only shot a 49.5% effective field goal percentage this year. The team has nailed 29.2% from three, which ranks 353rd in the nation. On the other hand, the Red Storm have scored 52.2% of two-point shots this season.
This just doesn’t compare to Creighton’s offensive numbers. Plus, Creighton ranks No. 1 in FTA/FGA on defense this season. The Red Storm isn’t consistently getting to the line this year, and that should remain the case today. Beyond that, St. John’s has also drilled just 68.7% from the foul line this season. Compare that to Creighton’s rate of 75.4%.
The Pick
I’ll happily take the points with Creighton here. Thank the AI Model when this ticket cashes in!
NCAAB Pick: Creighton +6.5 (-110) at Bet365
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins
Sunday, February 16, 2025 – 05:00 PM ET at XFINITY Center
The AI Model predicts Iowa and Maryland will combine for 159 points. Meanwhile, the total is set at 158.5. According to our model, the under has some value.
Iowa’s Finished!
The Iowa Hawkeyes are already dealing with two significant injuries at the forward position. In addition, the Hawkeyes have added just 25% of offensive rebounds and rarely get to the foul line.
While Iowa can shoot it lights out, the Hawkeyes will still battle a Maryland defense that ranks 21st in the nation, according to Kenpom. It won’t be so easy finding good looks.
Iowa Won’t Foul, Either!
The Iowa Hawkeyes have struggled defensively this year. That’s a given. However, the Hawkeyes have at least held teams to a very low free-throw rate. In addition, you’d have to think Iowa will do well in the turnover department. The Hawkeyes have already added 19.5% of turnovers per game this season.
Iowa won’t give perfect performances on either side of the ball, which is why this type of performance looks great with the Under.
The Pick
Roll with the Under 158.5 here.
NCAAB Pick: Iowa/Maryland Under 158.5 (-110) at Bet365
Louisville Cardinals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Sunday, February 16, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Purcell Pavilion
The AI Model suggests Louisville will earn a 76–69 win on the road against Notre Dame. However, the Fighting Irish are +7.5 against the spread. Notre Dame is still expected to cover against the spread at home.
Louisville Could Struggle From Three!
The Louisville Cardinals have scored more than 37% of their points from downtown this season. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have only nailed 32.8% from downtown this season. It might get challenging for Louisville to find open looks tonight.
After all, Notre Dame has held teams to 31.7% from three this season. In addition, the Fighting Irish have only allowed 25.7% of offensive rebounds. If Notre Dame can hold Louisville to a low percentage from three, they’ll do a good enough job to limit second chances, too.
How Notre Dame Can Stick Around
The Fighting Irish have been an above-average offense this season. The team won’t see the foul line much, even at home, since Louisville has allowed a low amount of fouls. However, the Fighting Irish have added 36.9% from downtown this season.
That should be important, especially considering Louisville had watched teams hit more than 34% from three against them this season. If Notre Dame shoots better from three, you’d have to imagine they’ll be in this game.
The Pick
Grab Notre Dame at +7.5.
NCAAB Pick: Notre Dame +7.5 (-115) at BetMGM
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
