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NCAA Basketball Computer Picks for February 27: Saint Mary’s on the Offensive

Mitchell Saxen Saint Mary's Gaels Utah
Mitchell Saxen #11 of the Saint Mary's Gaels elbows Lawson Lovering #34 of the Utah Utes during the first half of their game at the Jon M Huntsman Center on December 7, 2024 in Salt Lake City, Utah. Chris Gardner/Getty Images/AFP

There are some exciting games on tonight’s college basketball slate. Therefore, I checked in with the AI Model to find the value. Before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks, take a look at the Model’s favorite three bets for tonight.

Picks Summary


Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Panthers

Thursday, February 27, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena


The AI Model believes Milwaukee will add a seven-point win at home over Oakland tonight. However, Oakland is only -5.5 against the spread. Take a chance with Milwaukee using our AI Model.

Let Oakland Shoot!

The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have only shot a 49% effective field goal percentage. Despite shooting many threes per game, the team has nailed only 29.1% from downtown this season. In addition, Oakland has turned the ball over 18% of the time and has a low FTA/FGA ratio of 30.9.

The one area where Oakland does well is on the glass. However, Milwaukee has limited teams to 26.4% of offensive rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Will Add Many Second Chances

Not only does Milwaukee take better shots and hit more shots. But the Panthers have also added 40.9% of offensive rebounds. This is huge, especially since Oakland has allowed 32.8% of offensive rebounds per game on the defensive end.

The Panthers don’t take many threes and would rather score inside, where they’re 52.5% from the field. Ultimately, that will help them get better looks and add more possessions with more second chances on the offensive glass.

The Pick

Give me Milwaukee at -5.5 at home.

NCAAB Pick: Milwaukee -5.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook


Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders

Thursday, February 27, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Nutter Center


The AI Model suggests Wright State will earn a one-point win over Cleveland State. Yet, you can find Wright State at -118 on the moneyline. Consider Wright State here.

Cleveland State’s Offense Won’t Keep Up!

The Cleveland State Vikings have only shot a 48.9% effective field goal percentage. The only area where Cleveland State excels on offense is on the offensive glass. However, Wright State has limited teams to 26.5% of offensive rebounds. Without offensive rebounds, it’s hard to imagine Cleveland State’s defense keeping up.

After all, the Vikings have shot just 32.2% from deep and 49.2% from inside the arc. They’ve also struggled to consistently get to the foul line and have turned the ball over nearly 18% of the time.

Wright State Can Be Trusted

The Wright State Raiders could end up turning the ball over more. After all, Cleveland State has earned 22.3% of turnovers. Still, the Raiders have also allowed 34.4% of offensive rebounds and a super high FTA/FGA ratio on defense.

Plus, Wright State has nailed 38.1% from deep and 54% from inside the arc. They’ve been much more efficient from the field.

The Pick

Take a chance with Wright State at -118.

NCAAB Pick: Wright State (-118) at Bet365


Saint Mary’s Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lions

Thursday, February 27, 2025 – 11:00 PM ET at Gersten Pavilion


The AI Model thinks Saint Mary’s will dominate Loyola Marymount by 14 points on the road. Right now, you can find Saint Mary’s at -13.5. That would be good enough to cover the projected 14-point win.

Saint Mary’s Does The Little Things!

The Saint Mary’s Gaels have shot an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%, which ranks them 139th in the country. That’s not what makes them elite on offense.

What does is the fact that the Gaels have turned the ball over less than 15% of the time and have earned 39.8% of offensive rebounds. That’ll go a long way. Loyola Marymount has only earned 15.6% of turnovers and has allowed nearly 31% of offensive rebounds.

That’s where Saint Mary’s can attack.

Loyola Marymount Is The Opposite!

The Lions are the exact opposite of the Gaels. They have only added 23.2% of offensive rebounds and has shot an effective field goal percentage below 50%. In addition, the Lions rarely get to the foul line and have shot just 32.5% from downtown.

The Pick

Take the Gaels at -13.5.

NCAAB Pick: Saint Mary’s -13.5 (-115) at BetMGM

*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler

*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.

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