It doesn’t get much better than a Wednesday in college basketball! With so many exciting games on the slate, I asked the AI Model for its thoughts on the best bets for the top games.
Let’s get to it!
Picks Summary
- Tennessee -8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Tulsa/Memphis Under 147.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Arkansas/Texas Over 142.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Missouri Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Wednesday, February 05, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Food City Center
The AI Model predicts Tennessee will get by Missouri with a 73-62 win at home. However, Tennessee is only -8.5 against the spread in this game. Tennessee has some real value heading into this game.
Can Missouri Score Enough?
The Missouri Tigers have become one of the best offenses in college basketball this season. However, they’re about to face the No. 1 defense in all of college basketball.
Tennessee has limited teams to an effective field goal percentage of 42.1% and held opponents to 26% from three. The Tigers take threes at an above-average rate and could miss more shots from downtown than they’re used to.
Battling On The Offensive Glass
The Tennessee Vols win games with their defense. However, the offense isn’t so bad, either. Tennessee has drilled a 51.7% effective field goal percentage, which is still above average.
The best portion of the offense is its offensive rebounding. The Volunteers have gained 38.4% of offensive rebounds, and Missouri has given up 31% of offensive rebounds. As long as Tennessee stays aggressive on the offensive glass, the Vols will secure this win by double-digits.
The Pick
Back Tennessee at -8.5.
NCAAB Pick: Tennessee -8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Memphis Tigers
Wednesday, February 05, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at FedExForum
The AI Model predicts that Tulsa and Memphis will combine for 146 points in tonight’s contest. However, the total is stuck at 147.5, which means the Under has some value in this matchup.
Tulsa’s Struggling Offense
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have shot just a 48.7% effective field goal percentage this season. The team has drilled only 31% from downtown and 50.5% from inside the arc. And while Tulsa is good at getting to the foul line for the most part, the Golden Hurricane have drained only 66.7% from the foul line this year.
Additionally, Tulsa has had 12.5% of shots blocked this season. That rate should continue against a Memphis team that has blocked 11.6% of shots this year. Tulsa might succeed on the offensive glass, but the Golden Hurricane still cannot consistently score.
Memphis’ Turnovers Are Concerning
The Memphis Tigers have turned the ball over 20.3% of the time this season, which is the one stat holding them back. Ultimately, Tulsa hasn’t earned a high rate of turnovers this season. But Memphis makes some careless mistakes almost every game. Tulsa’s rate of turnovers could increase in this one.
Plus, the Golden Hurricane have also limited teams to 32.8% from deep and 49.4% from inside the arc this season. As long as Tulsa can keep Memphis’ three-point shooting down, they’ll stick around in this game and keep it low-scoring.
The Pick
Back the Under 147.5 here.
NCAAB Pick: Tulsa/Memphis Under 147.5 (-110) at Bet365
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Texas Longhorns
Wednesday, February 05, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Moody Center
The AI Model thinks Texas and Arkansas will add 144 points in tonight’s game. Meanwhile, the total is currently 142.5 in most sportsbooks. Consider the Over here.
Can Arkansas Rally Against Texas?
Fresh off a stunning road win against Kentucky, the Arkansas Razorbacks have some momentum. The Razorbacks scored 89 points on the road in Kentucky and added their second win of SEC play.
Arkansas has shot the ball well this season, adding 33.5% from deep and 54.8% from inside the arc. Additionally, it has given up just 16.2% of turnovers and shot nearly 73% from the foul line. Don’t expect Arkansas to get to the foul line consistently. Beyond that, Arkansas isn’t terrific on the offensive glass. Yet, Arkansas should still make a solid amount of buckets.
Texas Has Lots Of Scoring Ability
The Texas Longhorns have nailed 37.1% from three and 54.5% from inside the arc. They’ve also nailed 75.4% from the foul line and should get to the foul line more than Arkansas in this game.
Like Arkansas, don’t expect Texas to dominate the offensive glass. Yet, Texas is also very good at limiting turnovers.
The Pick
If neither team gives up many turnovers, there will still be plenty of shots between two fast-paced offenses. Take the Over.
NCAAB Pick: Arkansas/Texas Over 142.5 (-110) at BetMGM
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