We’ve got a fun-filled Saturday with tons of college basketball on the slate. I asked the AI Model for its thoughts on some of the premier games on the schedule tonight. Take a look below before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks!
Picks Summary
- Alabama -5 (-110)
- LSU/Ole Miss Under 146.5 (-110)
- Arizona -2.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Saturday, February 08, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Bud Walton Arena
The AI Model predicts Alabama will add a six-point win as five-point favorites. Therefore, grab Alabama at -5. That’s the play.
Should Alabama Be Worried?
The Alabama Crimson Tide are the No. 3 ranked offense in the nation, according to Kenpom. Alabama has hit 60.3% from inside the arc this season. In addition, they’ve grabbed 36.7% of offensive rebounds and gotten to the foul line at a very high rate.
Meanwhile, Arkansas’ defense has been well above average this season. They’ve blocked 15.7% of shots, while Alabama has blocked 12.2% of shots. Therefore, Alabama will need to adjust and try to score around the rim to get good looks.
Arkansas Won’t Have It Easy!
Alabama certainly won’t have it easy, but they have more consistent scorers. Arkansas ranks just 81st in offensive efficiency, according to Kenpom, hitting only 33.8% from deep and 54.4% from inside the arc.
Arkansas is much weaker on the offensive glass and doesn’t get to the foul line nearly as much. That should be the difference in this epic SEC showdown.
The Pick
Ride Alabama at -5 with the AI Model.
NCAAB Pick: Alabama -5 (-110) at Bet365
Ole Miss Rebels vs. LSU Tigers
Saturday, February 08, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Pete Maravich Assembly Center
The AI Model predicts that LSU and Ole Miss will combine for 146 points. However, Bet365 has set the total at 146.5. The Under has some value heading into tonight’s SEC matchup.
LSU Keeps Shooting Threes…
The LSU Tigers rank 108th in 3PA/FGA but have only shot 30.9% from three this season. The Tigers continue to take shots from long range but haven’t consistently knocked them down. This has hurt them down the stretch, especially in the second half.
In addition, the Tigers have turned the ball over nearly 20% of the time. That won’t be good, especially since Ole Miss has forced 22% of turnovers per game this season. The Tigers will waste multiple possessions with bad shots, and that’s when they don’t turn the ball over.
Can Ole Miss Take Advantage Of The Offensive Glass?
The Ole Miss Rebels don’t turn the ball over much at all. However, the Rebels have only grabbed 25.6% of offensive rebounds. LSU has given up 34.5% of offensive rebounds, giving Ole Miss more of a chance to impact the glass. However, the Rebels just aren’t aggressive enough on the offensive glass to make a difference.
It’s likely the Rebels will win this game outright. However, the Tigers have still limited teams to 32.2% from deep and 45.5% from inside the arc, so LSU can still defend at a high level.
The Pick
Let’s back the Under 146.5.
NCAAB Pick: LSU/Ole Miss Under 146.5 (-110) at Bet365
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcats
Saturday, February 08, 2025 – 10:30 PM ET at McKale Memorial Center
The AI Model believes Arizona will escape with a three-point win against Texas Tech at home. Meanwhile, you can find Arizona at -2.5 against the spread at most sportsbooks. Consider Arizona against the spread here.
Texas Tech Won’t Get To The Foul Line Enough
The Texas Tech Red Raiders have done many good things on offense. They’ve shot a 56.2% effective field goal percentage and have nailed 38.1% from deep while hitting 55.5% from inside the arc. In addition, Texas Tech has turned the ball over only 15.9% of the time and has earned 36.2% of offensive rebounds.
However, the one area in which it struggles is getting to the foul line. The Red Raiders rank 276th in FTA/FGA, which isn’t ideal, especially since Texas Tech has drained 76.1% from the foul line this season.
Arizona Is Slightly Better!
Despite a recent road loss to Texas Tech, Arizona looks better analytically. The Wildcats haven’t shot it super well from downtown but have still shot 55.4% from inside the arc. They have also hauled in 36.5% of offensive rebounds and should see the foul line a bit more.
These two teams match up very well. However, at home, Arizona will likely see the foul line more often, which could be the major difference in this game.
The Pick
Grab Arizona at -2.5.
NCAAB Pick: Arizona -2.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
