We’ve got a fun college basketball slate ahead of the Super Bowl. Therefore, I went to the AI Model and asked for its favorite three bets. Let’s hope to add some more bankroll at the top-rated sportsbooks before the Super Bowl begins.
Picks Summary
- La Salle +1 (-110)
- Oklahoma State +1.5 (-110)
- Nebraska -2.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. La Salle Explorers
Sunday, February 09, 2025 – 02:00 PM ET at John Glaser Arena
The AI Model predicts La Salle will earn a two-point win over Massachusetts at home. Meanwhile, you can find La Salle at +1. There’s clearly some value on the Explorers.
UMass Can’t Shoot!
The UMass Minutemen have shot just 28% from three and 47.7% from inside the arc. They’ve been able to limit turnovers and grab offensive rebounds, but they can’t shoot the ball consistently.
Meanwhile, La Salle still holds teams to 29.2% of offensive rebounds and doesn’t foul much. If UMass can’t take advantage of those areas, you can forget about them winning this game.
La Salle Can Earn More Offensive Rebounds!
La Salle hasn’t shot much better than UMass, hitting a 46.4% effective field goal percentage. However, two keys help La Salle in this game:
- UMass has fouled at a much higher rate this season.
- The Minutemen have also allowed 31.3% of offensive rebounds.
If La Salle can win both of those areas, the Explorers will likely escape with a win.
The Pick
Let’s back La Salle at +1 via the AI Model.
NCAAB Pick: La Salle +1 (-110) at Bet365
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Sunday, February 09, 2025 – 02:00 PM ET at Gallagher-Iba Arena
The AI Model suggests Oklahoma State will escape Arizona State with a two-point win. Again, the home team is an underdog but expected to win outright. The value is on Oklahoma State at +1.5.
Can Arizona State Even Get Shots Up?
The Arizona State Sun Devils have shot an effective field goal percentage of 51.7%. They’ve also hit 35.6% from deep and 50.3% from inside the arc.
If the Sun Devils can get shots up, they’ll be in this game. However, Arizona State has turned the ball over 19% of the time. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has added 20.5% of turnovers per game and should add a bunch at home in today’s game.
Oklahoma State hasn’t defended well at all. Teams have hit 35.6% from deep and 55.6% from inside the arc. Still, for every fifth possession, you can expect a turnover. That’ll help Oklahoma State survive those three-point shots.
Can Oklahoma State Work Its Way To The Foul Line?
The Oklahoma State Cowboys don’t shoot the ball nearly as well as Arizona State. But they’re able to get to the foul line consistently. That will be something they’ve got to do in this game, especially at home.
While Arizona State doesn’t foul too much, the Sun Devils have seen teams shoot 76% from the foul line this year.
The Pick
Let’s roll with the Cowboys at +1.5 to pull off the home upset.
NCAAB Pick: Oklahoma State +1.5 (-110) at Bet365
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Sunday, February 09, 2025 – 02:00 PM ET at Pinnacle Bank Arena
The AI Model believes Nebraska will earn a three-point win against Ohio State at home tonight. Meanwhile, you can find the Cornhuskers at -2.5 at most sportsbooks. A three-point win would be enough to cover against the spread.
Give Nebraska’s Defense Credit
The Nebraska Cornhuskers have limited teams to a 49.7% effective field goal percentage. They’ve also held teams to 28.2% of offensive rebounds and don’t foul at a super high rate. The glass could be a major factor in this game.
Ultimately, Ohio State has only gained 28.9% of offensive rebounds per game, and it’s unlikely they’ll do any better than that against Nebraska.
Additionally, Ohio State has drilled 37.1% from downtown and 53.4% from inside the arc. The Buckeyes have some potential from downtown, knowing Nebraska has allowed 33.4% from three. However, Ohio State doesn’t shoot three-pointers at a ridiculous rate.
Nebraska Can Make Its Foul Shots!
Nebraska doesn’t have a higher effective field goal percentage. However, the Cornhuskers have still limited turnovers to 16.6% and have added a higher FTA/FGA ratio than Ohio State this season. That’s huge, especially since Ohio State has allowed a 40.9 FTA/FGA on defense, which ranks 336th.
Nebraska should see the foul line more often, which is good, considering the Cornhuskers have nailed 74.3% of their shots from the foul line this season.
The Pick
Take the home team at -2.5.
NCAAB Pick: Nebraska -2.5 (-110) at Bet365
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