The college basketball slate isn’t super electric. However, there are still a handful of games with some value that the AI Model pointed out to us. Let’s finish the month strong at the top-rated sportsbooks with three best college basketball bets tonight.
Picks Summary
- Georgetown -3.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Dayton -1.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Indiana/Purdue Over 146.5 (-105) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas
Friday, January 31, 2025 – 06:30 PM ET at Capital One Arena
The AI Model predicts Georgetown will earn a four-point win at home tonight against Butler. Meanwhile, Georgetown is only -3.5 against the spread. Consider the Hoyas to cover tonight.
Butler Could Struggle Inside
The Butler Bulldogs have only earned 27.5% of offensive rebounds and have shot 50.7% from inside the arc this season.
They’ve shot it well from downtown and typically get to the foul line at a high rate. However, Georgetown’s defense has limited opponents from the foul line. The Hoyas have also forced 20.4% of turnovers. In addition, opponents have hit just 43.3% from inside the arc against Georgetown.
If Butler struggles on the offensive glass and can’t make shots inside, it’ll be hard to win, specifically on the road.
Georgetown Must Do The Little Things Right
The Hoyas don’t shoot it better than Butler. However, Georgetown has a chance to eliminate turnovers against Butler. The Bulldogs have grabbed 11.3% of turnovers, which is one of the worst rates in the nation. Georgetown typically turns the ball over more than 19% of the time. But this rate can significantly drop.
With more shots come more offensive rebound opportunities, where Georgetown has earned 34.4% of offensive rebounds per game this season. That would be a huge key.
The Pick
Take Georgetown at -3.5 at home.
NCAAB Pick: Georgetown -3.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
Friday, January 31, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Chaifetz Arena
The AI Model predicts Dayton will add a two-point win against St. Louis on the road tonight. Right now, Dayton is -1.5. A two-point win would be enough to cover!
Dayton Will Be Alright!
The Dayton Flyers have had a unique season where they’ve gone on hot and cold stretches. That said, scoring against St. Louis certainly won’t be easy.
The Billikens have limited teams to 30.2% from deep and 48.5% from inside the arc. They’ve also held teams to a low free throw rate and only 28.6% of offensive rebounds. Still, Dayton should be able to limit turnovers, giving them a chance to score almost every possession. At the end of the day, Dayton has still drained 36.5% from deep and 54% from inside the arc. The Flyers have guys who can go get buckets.
Saint Louis’ Ugly Offense
The Saint Louis Billikens are all over the place offensively. Saint Louis has shot 60.6% from inside the arc, one of the best rates in college basketball. However, Saint Louis shoots three-pointers more than most teams in college basketball. They’re dominant inside but sometimes forget that.
Beyond that, Saint Louis has grabbed fewer than 24% of offensive rebounds and has returned the ball over 18.6% of the time. It’s hard to trust Saint Louis right now.
The Pick
Let’s ride Dayton at -1.5 in a fun, tight matchup.
NCAAB Pick: Dayton -1.5 (-110) at Bet365
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Friday, January 31, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Mackey Arena
The AI Model thinks Purdue and Indiana will add 147 points in tonight’s showdown. Meanwhile, the total for this game is stuck at 146.5. The Over is the play.
Indiana Can Have Success Inside
The Indiana Hoosiers have shot a 51.6% effective field goal percentage this season. They’re not deadly from downtown but have at least hit 53% from inside the arc this year.
Ultimately, Indiana isn’t making many threes. With Purdue allowing 52.4% from two-point range this season, Indiana will likely find success scoring around the rim. Plus, Purdue has allowed nearly 30% of offensive rebounds. Indiana can take advantage of the offensive glass and even earn second chances.
There’s No Stopping Purdue
The Purdue Boilermakers rank 7th in adjusted offensive efficiency heading into tonight’s game. Purdue has drained 38.4% from three and 56% from inside the arc.
Maybe Purdue won’t dominate the offensive glass. However, the Boilermakers will be able to keep turnovers down since Indiana has gained only 16.1% of turnovers per game this season.
Purdue should definitely hold its own tonight.
The Pick
Consider the Over 146 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Indiana/Purdue Over 146.5 (-105) at BetMGM
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