The college basketball regular season has concluded. That means we’ll get postseason basketball moving forward.
There are so many intriguing matchups in conference tournaments. Therefore, let’s grab some value at the top-rated sportsbooks using our AI Model for some of tonight’s games.
Picks Summary
- Furman -2 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Arkansas State -1.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Gonzaga -14.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
Wofford Terriers vs. Furman Paladins
Monday, March 10, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Harrah’s Cherokee Center
The AI Model projects Furman will escape with a 70-67 win over Wofford in the Southern Conference Championship final. Meanwhile, Furman is just -2 against the spread heading into tonight’s game.
Wofford Must Dominate The Glass
The Wofford Terriers have shot a 52.9% effective field goal percentage. But more importantly, they’ve added 35.8% of offensive rebounds.
That’s the only area where Wofford has an edge. Furman has limited foul shots, allowing just 32.1% from deep and 49% from inside. Therefore, a handful of second chances likely won’t derail them.
Furman Has The Edge!
Furman has shot 35.9% from deep and 53% from inside the arc. This is crucial, knowing Wofford has allowed teams to hit 34.3% from deep and 51.6% from inside the arc. Wofford hasn’t been consistent defensively and has earned only 15% of turnovers per game.
Wofford will keep Furman off the offensive glass, but Furman should still end up shooting a higher percentage from the field.
The Pick
Let’s take Furman at -2.
NCAAB Pick: Furman -2 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Troy Trojans
Monday, March 10, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Pensacola Bay Center
The AI Model likes Arkansas State to add a two-point win over Troy in the Sun Belt Championship Final. Meanwhile, Arkansas State is -1.5 against the spread. That would win in this scenario.
Can Arkansas State Earn Enough Second Chances?
The Arkansas State Red Wolves have only shot an effective field goal percentage of 49.3% this season. They’ve hit only 31.6% from deep and 50.8% from inside the arc. This is nothing to write home about. However, the Red Wolves have limited turnovers below 15% and have added 34% of offensive rebounds.
Arkansas State will miss plenty of shots. However, they’ll also add plenty of offensive rebounds and second chances. That could be enough.
Troy Isn’t So Great Offensively, Either!
The Troy Trojans have averaged a 50.1% effective field goal percentage, shooting 30.3% from deep and 53.9% from inside the arc. However, the problem is that Troy has shot a high rate of threes and typically doesn’t make many of them.
The Trojans will be just as active on the offensive glass but will likely turn the ball over more. This season, Troy has turned the ball over 20.3% of the time, which could be the difference between winning and losing.
The Pick
I’m on the Red Wolves at -1.5.
NCAAB Pick: Arkansas State -1.5 (-110) at Bet365
San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
Monday, March 10, 2025 – 11:30 PM ET at Orleans Arena
The AI Model suggests Gonzaga will add a 15-point win against San Francisco tonight. With Gonzaga at -14.5, you’ll want to consider the Bulldogs against the spread as one of your bets.
San Francisco Will Just Chuck Up Threes!
The San Francisco Dons have shot a 53% effective field goal percentage, which is an above-average rate. They’ve shot 55% from inside the arc but only 33.6% from deep. Meanwhile, Gonzaga has limited teams to 30.4% from three and 49% from inside the arc.
Ultimately, San Francisco has taken a high rate of three-point shots. But against Gonzaga, don’t expect them to fall very much. In addition, Gonzaga has limited teams to 26.3% offensive rebounds. San Francisco isn’t great on the offensive glass and likely won’t earn many second chances off those three-point misses.
Gonzaga Will Dominate Inside!
Unlike San Francisco, Gonzaga takes more shots inside the arc. That’s critical, especially since the Bulldogs have shot 58.2% from inside the arc this season. Ultimately, San Francisco has allowed teams to shoot 52.1% from inside the arc this year.
Beyond that, Gonzaga doesn’t get to the foul line a lot, but still shoots over 80% from the stripe. Against San Francisco, Gonzaga likely gets to the foul line even more since the Dons foul at a high clip.
The Pick
Take Gonzaga at -14.5.
NCAAB Pick: Gonzaga -14.5 (-110) at BetMGM
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