There’s only one more week of the regular season. Then, we’ll watch conference tournaments for the high major conferences and, eventually, March Madness. Each game means more down the stretch. Here are three bets to consider at the top-rated sportsbooks using our AI Model.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice on these games.
Picks Summary
- Duke -20.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Kansas +9.5 (-110) at BetMGM (check our BetMGM Review)
- Northwestern +3.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Duke Blue Devils
Monday, March 03, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Cameron Indoor Stadium
The AI Model Duke will add a 22-point win at home over 20-win Wake Forest. The Blue Devils are -20.5 against the spread and still have value even at -20.5.
Does Wake Forest Stand a Chance?
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have only shot a 50.4% effective field goal percentage this year. That’s only 205th in college basketball, ultimately because Wake Forest has hit just 28.6% from downtown.
Meanwhile, Duke has limited teams to a 44.2% effective field goal percentage and only 26.1% of offensive rebounds. Not only does Wake Forest miss a lot of shots, but it doesn’t gain many second chances off of offensive rebounds. That’ll stay the same against Duke tonight.
Is Duke The Best Team In The Nation?
You can make an argument that Duke is the best team in the country. They’re playing in a weak ACC this year. However, Duke has still managed to shoot a 57.7% effective field goal percentage with only 14.1% of turnovers and 35.4% of offensive rebounds.
Wake Forest forces many turnovers but probably won’t get many opportunities to do that in this game. In addition, the Demon Deacons have allowed 31.2% of offensive rebounds this season. Duke will get quality looks but also clean up the glass on missed shots.
The Pick
I don’t mind backing Duke, even at -20.5.
NCAAB Pick: Duke -20.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougars
Monday, March 03, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Fertitta Center
The AI Model suggests Houston will add a 71-62 win over Kansas. However, Kansas is +9.5 against the spread and would cover with a nine-point loss. Let’s trust Bill Self and the Jayhawks here.
Bill Self Released A Statement Suggesting Better Play Is Ahead
The Kansas Jayhawks are 19-10 and have lost three of their last five games. Many teams would love to be 19-10 in the season with a record above .500. However, that’s not the Kansas standard. Kansas fans expected more. After a loss to Texas Tech, Bill Self issued a statement to Kansas fans, saying things would improve.
Ultimately, the Jayhawks have struggled to reach the foul line this year. Yet, that will likely change tonight, knowing Houston fouls at a high rate. Kansas won’t get easy looks, but they’ll find ways to score points as long as they’re aggressive.
Houston Won’t Cash In At The Foul Line
The Houston Cougars have shot just 49.9% from inside the arc and rarely get to the foul line. These are two areas that could hurt Houston down the stretch.
The defense should keep them in the game against Kansas. But asking for 9.5 points to bet Houston is a little too much.
The Pick
I’m with the AI Model and will back Kansas. They’ll be motivated.
NCAAB Pick: Kansas +9.5 (-110) at BetMGM
UCLA Bruins vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Monday, March 03, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Welsh-Ryan Arena
The AI Model thinks UCLA will earn a three-point win on the road over Northwestern. However, the Wildcats are +3.5 and would still cover on the road. Let’s rock with the Wildcats in a critical game to earn a potential Big Ten Tournament berth.
Northwestern Can Hold UCLA!
The Northwestern Wildcats have limited teams to a 50.1% effective field goal percentage. Teams have hit just 33.8% from deep and 49.6% from inside the arc. Ultimately, no offense has had an easy time against the Wildcats, especially when playing in Ryan-Welsh Arena.
That said, UCLA should consistently be able to reach the foul line. However, the Bruins have hit just 70.5% from the foul line, which is below average. In addition, UCLA has turned the ball over more than Northwestern this season. You’d like to think the Wildcats will take advantage.
Why Northwestern Has a Chance
The Wildcats have only turned the ball over 14.5% of the time. That’s huge because UCLA has added the fourth-highest turnover percentage on defense this season. If the Bruins can’t force turnovers, it’ll be hard for them to get stops.
UCLA has allowed 51.5% from inside the arc and fouls just as much as the Wildcats.
The Pick
I’ll grab the home team at +3.5 any chance I can get.
NCAAB Pick: Northwestern +3.5 (-110) at Bet365
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
