With so many in-season tournaments going on, it’s certainly hard to keep up with all of the college basketball action. That’s why I’ve asked the AI Model for its favorite bets to take the guesswork out of it. Here are the best three bets you should consider at the top-rated sportsbooks.
Picks Summary
- UNLV -11.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
- Columbia -11.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
- Stanford -1 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
New Mexico State Aggies vs. UNLV Rebels
Saturday, November 23, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Thomas & Mack Center
The AI Model believes UNLV will add a 77-65 win over New Mexico State. At Bet365, you can get UNLV at -11.5. With a 12-point win, UNLV would cover the spread.
UNLV Will Be Fine
The UNLV Rebels have shot a 55.3% effective field goal percentage and have added 39.1% from downtown and 53.2% from inside the arc. These are very solid numbers.
On the other hand, New Mexico State has held teams to 30.7% from three and 45.9% from inside the arc. That’s also good. The problem is everything else. The New Mexico State Aggies have forced just 9.3% of turnovers per game this season. They’ve also allowed 31.4% of offensive rebounds and fouls at a very high rate.
New Mexico State has been getting a bit lucky, with teams hitting just 60% of foul shots. That won’t be the case with UNLV, who have hit 78.6% from the foul line.
Doing The Little Things
New Mexico State Has shot just a 47.4% effective field goal percentage. The Aggies are usually solid from three but don’t take most of their shots from three. Instead, they take looks from inside the arc, shooting just 46% from the field.
That certainly won’t win games against solid opponents like UNLV.
The Pick
I’ll ride with the AI Model and take UNLV at -11.5.
NCAAB Pick: UNLV -11.5 (-110) at Bet365
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Columbia Lions
Saturday, November 23, 2024 – 07:00 PM ET at Levien Gymnasium
The AI Model believes Columbia will add a 13-point win over Stony Brook at home. Columbia is currently 6-0 and undefeated. You can back Columbia with confidence since it is only -11.5.
Watch Out For Columbia!
The Columbia Lions are currently 6-0 and already have a win against Villanova earlier this year. Columbia has shot a 55.8% effective field goal percentage, 36.3% from three, and 56.8% from inside the arc.
This is ideal, especially since Stony Brook’s defense has given up 35.3% from deep and a ridiculous 65.1% from inside the arc.
Stony Brook’s Offense Is Below Average
The Stony Brook’s defense is awful. But the offense is similar. The Seawolves have shot 32.2% from three and 42.4% from inside the arc. That amounted to a 44.6% effective field goal percentage. In addition, Stony Brook has turned the ball over 19.4% of the time and has grabbed just 25.8% of offensive rebounds.
Columbia hasn’t been great at stopping quality looks. However, the Lions have at least held teams to 27.4% of offensive rebounds and a low free throw rate.
The Pick
I wouldn’t be surprised if Columbia won this game by 20.
NCAAB Pick: Columbia -11.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Stanford Cardinal vs. Santa Clara Broncos
Saturday, November 23, 2024 – 10:00 PM ET at Leavey Center
The AI Model thinks Stanford will escape with a 74-72 win over Santa Clara tonight. You can find Standford at -1. That’s the play.
Stanford’s Shot-Making Ability Is Elite!
The Stanford Cardinal have shot 33.6% from three and 53.8% from inside the arc. They’ve also turned the ball over just 12.7% of the time and have grabbed 39% of offensive rebounds.
Stanford has played incredibly well on offense and will now face a Santa Clara defense that has allowed teams to shoot 36.2% from three and 53.3% from inside. In addition, Santa Clara has fouled frequently and will likely send Stanford to the foul line frequently.
Less Shot-Making For Santa Clara
While the Santa Clara Broncos have shot well inside the arc, they have only made 30.6% of their three-point attempts.
They’ll take on a Stanford defense that has limited teams to 28.9% from three and 50% from inside the arc. The Cardinal are also very good at limiting teams on the glass and have forced nearly 22% of turnovers.
The Pick
Let’s take Stanford to squeeze out this win. The analytics love them.
NCAAB Pick: Stanford -1 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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