Tonight’s college basketball slate is loaded with many massive Top-25 matchups. I asked the AI Model for its thoughts on a bunch of the games and found my favorite three bets using the projections. Take a look below.
Picks Summary
- Kansas-Iowa State Over 144 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Georgia-Tennessee Over 133.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Purdue -7.5 (-110) at Bet365
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Wednesday, January 15, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Hilton Coliseum
The AI Model predicts Iowa State and Kansas will score 145 points in tonight’s game. However, you can find the Over 144 at Caesars right now. There’s value in the over in this Big 12 matchup.
Iowa State’s Winning Streak Is On The Line
The Iowa State Cyclones have won 11 consecutive games and are undefeated in Big 12 play. They’re easily one of the best teams in the nation, and their offense is absolutely loaded with talent.
The offense has shot nearly 35% from three and 58.6% from inside the arc. Iowa State has also turned the ball over just 14% of the time and continues to get to the foul line at a very high pace.
Ultimately, Kansas can defend very well. The issue for Kansas is that it won’t force many turnovers. That will allow Iowa State to increase its volume, which would help its point total increase.
Can Kansas Continue Earning High-Quality Looks?
The Kansas Jayhawks have shot 33.1% from three and 55.1% from inside the arc. It’s nothing to rave about.
That said, Kansas takes a lot more two-point shots than threes. That’s good, especially since the Jayhawks have been much more efficient from inside the arc.
Kansas won’t be very aggressive to get to the foul line. But if they commit to scoring inside, they’ll likely get more foul calls than usual.
Thanks to our AI Model, let’s roll with the Over at -110 betting odds in this matchup.
NCAAB Pick: Over 144 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Wednesday, January 15, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Food City Center
The AI Model predicts Georgia and Tennessee will score 135 points. However, Caesars has set the total at 133.5, so the over is also valuable in this matchup.
Georgia Is Effective On The Offensive Glass
The Georgia Bulldogs won’t have an easy time against the Tennessee Volunteers. After all, Tennessee ranks as the No. 3 defense in the nation.
Still, Georgia’s offense is good enough to hold its own. The Bulldogs have shot 57.4% from inside the arc and have reached the foul line at a high rate. In addition, Georgia has tallied 38.7% of offensive rebounds.
Those second chances will be huge on the road against the Volunteers. That’ll help the Bulldogs stick around.
Tennessee Is Just As Good On The Offensive Glass
Georgia has earned 38.7% of offensive rebounds. But Tennesee has grabbed 39.5% of offensive rebounds.
There’s a good chance we’ll get a lot of second-chance points in this contest. In addition, Tennessee has shot 34.6% from three and 55.2% from inside the arc. The Vols have also done a better job at limiting turnovers and also getting to the foul line at a slightly above-average rate.
The Over is calling our name. Take it.
NCAAB Pick: Over 133.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washington Huskies
Wednesday, January 15, 2025 – 09:30 PM ET at Alaska Airlines Arena
The AI Model predicts that Purdue will add an eight-point victory over Washington on the road tonight. Meanwhile, Bet365 is carrying Purdue at -7.5. Don’t be afraid to wager on Purdue on the road tonight.
There’s No Stopping Purdue
The Purdue Boilermakers have the No. 6 ranked offense in the nation, according to KenPom.
The offense has nailed 39.7% from three and 56.8% from inside the arc, equaling an effective field goal percentage of 58%.
Purdue should get to the foul line consistently. After all, Washington ranks 236th in FTA/FGA defensively this season.
In addition, Purdue could struggle to find quality looks from three. Yet, the Boilermakers will still have success on the offensive glass and should score plenty inside, knowing Washington has allowed teams to shoot 52.5% from inside the arc this year.
Washington’s Offense Is No Better
The Washington Huskies haven’t shot very well to begin the season. The Huskies have a 49.5% effective field goal percentage while hitting below 33% from three and below 50% from inside the arc.
Like Washington, Purdue hasn’t defended well inside, but it should benefit from Washington’s inability to score the basketball.
Let’s ride Purdue at -7.5.
NCAAB Pick: Purdue -7.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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