After a wild Saturday in college hoops, we still have a few exciting matchups on today’s college basketball slate. I asked the AI Model for its favorite bets of the day. Let’s review them together below.
Picks Summary
- Michigan -10 (-110)
- Memphis -12 (-110)
- TCU-Baylor Over 136.5 (-110)
*All odds from Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Sunday, January 19, 2025 – 02:00 PM ET at Crisler Center
The AI Model predicts Michigan will add a 79-68 win over Northwestern at home today. Meanwhile, Michigan is currently just -10 at Bet365. That means Michigan has some value today.
Northwestern Can’t Hang!
The Northwestern Wildcats’ effective field goal percentage is 49.6%, which ranks 227th in the nation. This is largely due to poor three-point shooting.
Northwestern has hit just 31.5% from downtown and also doesn’t take many threes. The Wildcats are good at limiting turnovers but don’t shoot the ball well enough to make a difference.
Michigan has limited teams to 29.6% from three and 45.5% from inside the arc, and that should continue at home against a below-average offense like Northwestern.
Can Michigan Limit Turnovers?
The Michigan Wolverines have shot a college basketball-best 60% effective field goal percentage. However, they’re the 13th-best offense in the nation. That’s because they’ve turned the ball over 20.6% of the time this season.
Michigan will need to improve in that department and could still struggle to win the turnover battle in this game.
That said, the Wolverines have shot 38.4% from deep and 61.8% from inside the arc this season. They’ve also gotten to the foul line more frequently and have added plenty more offensive rebounds per game.
Northwestern can’t stick with Michigan on the road. Take the Wolverines and ride with the AI Model.
NCAAB Pick: Michigan -10 (-110) at Bet365
Memphis Tigers vs. Charlotte 49ers
Sunday, January 19, 2025 – 03:00 PM ET at Halton Arena
The AI Model predicts Memphis will add a 13-point win against Charlotte. That’s good news for Memphis bettors, especially since Memphis is -12 via Bet365. A 13-point win would cover!
Memphis Should Bounce Back!
The Memphis Tigers should bounce back after a tough loss to Temple last time out.
The Tigers’ effective field goal percentage is 53.2%, and they will face a Charlotte defense with a defensive effective field goal percentage of 52.6%.
Ultimately, Memphis also turns the ball over frequently. However, Charlotte’s defense is not aggressive and does not force many turnovers, which could only help Memphis.
Charlotte has also watched opponents shoot 56.5% from inside the arc. Memphis should be effective on the offensive glass and score plenty from inside the arc.
The 49ers Probably Shouldn’t Keep Shooting Threes!
The Charlotte 49ers have an effective field goal percentage of 47.1%. It’ll be hard to match Memphis possession-to-possession.
After all, the 49ers have hit just 28.9% from downtown this season, and Memphis has limited teams to 33% from three-point range.
Charlotte has also shot below 50% from two-point range and rarely adds offensive rebounds.
Take a chance with Memphis at -12 today.
NCAAB Pick: Memphis -12 (-110) at Bet365
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bears
Sunday, January 19, 2025 – 05:00 PM ET at Foster Pavilion
The AI Model predicts Baylor and TCU will add 137 points in tonight’s Big 12 contest. However, you can find the total at 136.5 in any of the top sportsbooks. The Model implies that the over is the best play in this game.
Baylor Is Too Inconsistent Defensively
The Baylor Bears have allowed an effective field goal percentage of 52%. Baylor has watched teams shoot 37.9% from three and has fouled opponents at a super high rate.
Ultimately, Baylor has gotten lucky with teams shooting 66.3% from the foul line against them this year. But it’s hard to imagine that continues, even against a TCU team that usually stinks at the foul line.
That said, TCU has held turnovers to below 16% and has still scored 33.2% from downtown. The Horned Frogs should get some quality looks from three, and they’ll likely execute.
There’s No Stopping Baylor Inside!
The Baylor Bears have shot 54% from inside the arc. This isn’t an insanely impressive state. However, it’ll work against a TCU defense that has watched teams shoot 52.6% from inside the arc this season.
Plus, TCU has allowed 30% of offensive rebounds. The glass is Baylor’s bread and butter. The Bears have accumulated 36.8% of offensive rebounds and should get a bunch of second chances in this game.
I’m taking the Over 136.5 at -110 NCAAB odds in this game. I agree with the Model.
NCAAB Pick: Over 136.5 (-110) at Bet365
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
