Today’s college basketball slate features plenty of exciting top-25 conference matchups. With so many games, I asked the AI Model to find the best value. Here’s what it thinks.
Picks Summary
- Kansas -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- St. John’s -8 (-110) at Bet365
- Ole Miss -3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Kansas Jayhawks vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Schollmaier Arena
The AI Model predicts Kansas will escape TCU with an eight-point win. However, you can find Kansas at -6.5 at any major sportsbook, including Caesars.
Kansas Loves To Score Inside!
The Kansas Jayhawks really don’t shoot many threes. Instead, they’d rather score inside. The Jayhawks don’t look for contact and don’t always try to get to the foul line. However, they’ve hit 54.8% from inside the arc, which ranks 71st in college basketball.
Meanwhile, TCU has allowed teams to shoot 51.9% from inside the arc this season. That ranks 216th in the NBA.
The Jayhawks clearly have potential shooting inside against TCU.
TCU’s Offense Isn’t Good
I don’t know if TCU can keep up with Kansas, even at home. The Horned Frogs have shot a 49.2% effective field goal percentage, hitting just 33.5% from three and 48.7% from inside the arc.
The Horned Frogs have also hit only 63.5% from the foul line, which isn’t good news for TCU, especially down the stretch.
I’ll back Kansas at -6.5 on the road and side with the AI Model.
NCAAB Pick: Kansas -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John’s Red Storm
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 – 07:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model predicts St. John’s will earn a 79-70 win over Xavier at home. Yet, you can find St. John’s at -8 via Bet365. That’s the best bet in this game.
Xavier Is Struggling Inside!
The Xavier Musketeers have struggled around the rim. Xavier has shot just 50.2% from inside the arc and has added just 26.7% of offensive rebounds.
Meanwhile, St. John’s has limited teams to a 46.2% effective field goal percentage and has held teams to 43.8% from inside the arc.
Xavier could get some looks from long-range, but the Musketeers aren’t making many threes game to game.
Don’t expect Xavier to succeed on the offensive glass. In addition, Xavier might not even see as many foul shots as it is used to tonight.
Can The Johnies Shoot Better From Three?
St. John’s hasn’t been an excellent offense. After all, the Red Storm have hit just a 50.2% effective field goal percentage. They’ve nailed just 30.6% from downtown and 52.1% from inside.
Ultimately, they’ve had a ton of success on the offensive glass, an area the Red Storm should dominate again tonight. St. John’s will be well on its way to victory with more second chances and fewer turnovers.
Back St. John’s at -8.
NCAAB Pick: St. John’s -8 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Wednesday, January 22, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
The AI Model predicts Ole Miss will survive Texas A&M with a four-point home victory. Still, you can find Ole Miss at -3 via Caesars. That’s got some real value.
Can Texas A&M Sustain Success?
The Texas A&M Aggies are 14-4 and ranked 13th in the nation. However, the offense has shot 30.4% from three and 50.1% from inside the arc.
The Aggies have also shot 67.7% from the foul line and have been blocked 12.9% of shots.
The only reason the Aggies are doing well is their offensive rebounding. Texas A&M has earned 42.9% of offensive rebounds per game this season, ranking them No. 1 in the nation and giving them numerous second chances.
The Aggies have also gotten to the foul line at a high rate. That likely won’t stop against Ole Miss’ defense. Still, that might not be enough against the Rebels.
At Least The Rebels Can Shoot!
The Ole Miss Rebels won’t earn nearly as many offensive rebounds. But at home, it’s unlikely they’ll have to.
The Rebels have shot 35.5% from three and 51.9% from inside the arc. They’re also much better from the foul line and have turned the ball over just 13.1% of the time.
While the Aggies dominate the glass, Ole Miss will win the turnover battle and should still shoot at a higher percentage from the floor.
Take Ole Miss at -3.
NCAAB Pick: Ole Miss -3 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
*21+ Seek help with a gambling addiction at 1-800-Gambler
*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
