The college basketball slate never looked so good! We’ve got a bunch of insane matchups on the agenda, so I asked the AI Model to find the best bets for the slate. Here’s what it came up with. And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice.
Picks Summary
- UConn -14.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Alabama-Mississippi State Over 165 (-110) at Bet365
- Ole Miss -6 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
DePaul Blue Demons vs. UConn Huskies
Wednesday, January 29, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at XL Center
The AI Model predicts that UConn will cover a 14.5-point spread with a 15-point win over DePaul. You can find UConn at -14.5 via Caesars right now.
DePaul Will Rely On The Three-Ball
The DePaul Blue Demons have shot the ball effectively, hitting 36.1% from downtown and 52.3% from inside the arc.
DePaul also makes many threes, ranking 27th in 3PA/FGA. This will be key for them. Ultimately, Connecticut has allowed 37.6% from downtown, one of the worst rates in college basketball.
DePaul has hit 36.1% from three, so they’ll want to continue to shoot from downtown. That said, the three-ball is the only thing going for the Blue Demons.
UConn has limited offensive rebounds to 27.3%, and DePaul also doesn’t get to the foul line that much.
Don’t expect DePaul to just get super hot from downtown on the road in Connecticut.
A Breakout Game For UConn
It’s been a minute since UConn proved how dominant it can be. This is the game they’ll show it.
The Huskies have shot 36.3% from deep and 59.3% from inside the arc. They’ll get good looks everywhere against a DePaul team that ranks 221st in defensive effective field goal percentage.
Plus, DePaul has earned just 15.9% of turnovers. That won’t help against a UConn team that is very good at limiting turnovers on offense.
I’m with the AI Model and love UConn at -14.5.
NCAAB Pick: UConn -14.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Wednesday, January 29, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Humphrey Coliseum
The AI Model predicts Alabama and Mississippi State will score 166 points in tonight’s matchup. However, Bet365’s total is only 165. The over is the play here.
It’s Hard To Stop Alabama!
The Alabama Crimson Tide ranks fifth in the nation in offensive efficiency via KenPom. The offense hasn’t found its mark from the three-point range. However, Alabama has still shot 60.7% from inside.
In addition, Alabama has gained 36.6% of offensive rebounds. That won’t change against a Miss State team already allowing 29.5% of offensive rebounds per game this season.
Plus, the Bulldogs foul at a high rate, and Alabama gets to the foul line at a high rate. Alabama should be able to put points on the board with the time stopped.
Limiting Turnovers Will Be Key For Miss State
The Mississippi State Bulldogs don’t have it easy shooting the basketball. Alabama has limited teams to 29.1% from three and 47% from inside the arc. Ultimately, the Bulldogs don’t even shoot it well from downtown but have had solid success inside the arc.
We also likely won’t see the Bulldogs reach the foul line as often as Alabama. However, Mississippi State will protect the basketball. The Bulldogs have only turned the ball over 15% of the time, while Alabama has earned just 14.1% of turnovers.
With fewer turnovers come more shots, and with more shots come more points. Even at 165, the AI Model likes the Over at -110 betting odds.
NCAAB Pick: Over 165 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Texas Longhorns vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Wednesday, January 29, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion
The AI Model thinks Ole Miss will defeat Texas at home by seven points. Yet, you can find Ole Miss at -6 via Caesars. That’s the play.
The Ole Miss Defense Stands Out
The Ole Miss Rebels rank 10th in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Rebels have added 23% of turnovers and have held teams to 30% from downtown and 49.3% from inside the arc.
Texas’s offense is undoubtedly a premier one. However, most teams can’t earn their averages against Ole Miss’s defense.
Texas has shot 37.3% from deep and 54.4% from inside the arc, but that likely won’t continue. The Longhorns have limited turnovers to 14.2%, but Ole Miss, at home, is a more significant threat to earn many more.
Can Ole Miss Shoot Better at Home?
The Ole Miss Rebels aren’t a better shooting team than Texas. They are just able to limit turnovers a little better.
Ultimately, the Longhorns won’t force a higher turnover rate, and Texas is still much weaker at defending the three.
Ole Miss has attempted an above-average rate of threes and should be able to drill threes at a much better rate than Texas.
Let’s roll with the home team at -6.
NCAAB Pick: Ole Miss -6 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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