There are plenty of exciting matchups on tonight’s college basketball slate. Trying to get through the entire board in college basketball can get super overwhelming. Therefore, I went to the AI Model and asked for its favorite three plays. Here’s what it came up with.
And don’t forget to check out our YouTube channel for more betting advice. Today, our expert covered the UConn vs. Villanova and Texas A&M vs. Oklahoma games!
Picks Summary
- Penn State +10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Oklahoma ML (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Arizona State-Kansas Over 142 (-110) at Bet365
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
Wednesday, January 08, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at State Farm Center
The AI Model predicts Penn State will only lose to Illinois, 87-78 on the road. That’s a nine-point loss, but Penn State is +10 against the spread at Caesars. Penn State is the play.
Penn State Can Stick With Any Team!
The Penn State Nittany Lions have shot 34% from deep and 58.8% from inside the arc. They’ve also turned the ball over only 16% of the time and added 33.4% of offensive rebounds and a high free throw rate.
Illinois doesn’t force many turnovers. However, Illinois does force many difficult shots. Penn State certainly won’t have it easy. But the Nittany Lions don’t force up crazy shots. Opponents have only blocked them 7.2% of the time, and teams have earned below 10% of steals against the Nittany Lions this year.
Penn State will provide quality offense.
Watch Out For The Turnovers!
Penn State is known for forcing many turnovers. The Nittany Lions have added 23.3% of turnovers per game on defense this season.
Ultimately, Illinois has been good at keeping mistakes down. But in the Big Ten, many teams aren’t very heavy turnover teams on defense. When Big Ten teams face a defense like Penn State, they sometimes freeze up.
The Nittany Lions won’t let up. They’ll be in this game throughout. Ride with the AI Model and take Penn State at +10.
NCAAB Pick: Penn State +10 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Wednesday, January 05, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Lloyd Noble Center
The AI Model wants Oklahoma to surpass Texas A&M with a 75-73 win. Oklahoma is only -140 on the moneyline. There’s value with the Sooners!
Can Oklahoma Figure Themselves Out?
The Oklahoma Sooners took a beating from Alabama last time out. It was their first loss of the season. However, it was also on the road and a difficult test in the SEC.
But with a home game against Texas A&M, you can expect much more competitiveness. Oklahoma has still shot 36.2% from deep and 58% from inside the arc. The Sooners have also nailed 80.9% from the foul line and have turned the ball over 16% of the time.
The Sooners won’t get the easiest looks, but they’ll be comfortable at home.
The Aggies Can’t Always Just Live On The Glass
The Texas A&M Aggies have only shot a 49% effective field goal percentage. They’re not a good shooting team. Ultimately, A&M is just good on the offensive glass and earns many second-chance points.
That’ll still be the case tonight. However, if Oklahoma continues to shoot it well from the floor, the Aggies won’t be able to keep up shooting just 30.8% from three and 50.7% from inside the arc.
I’ll take Oklahoma at home at -140 betting odds.
NCAAB Pick: Oklahoma ML (-140) at Caesars Sportsbook
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Kansas Jayhawks
Wednesday, January 08, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Allen Fieldhouse
The AI Model predicts Arizona State and Kansas will score 144 points combined tonight. Yet, you can find the total at 142 via Bet365. Consider the Over for this matchup.
Arizona’s Three-Point Shooting Should Help
Kansas has one of the best defenses in the nation. The Jayhawks have limited teams to an effective field goal percentage of 43.4% and allowed just 24.2% of offensive rebounds.
However, Arizona State makes many threes, and the Sun Devils have hit them at 37.6%. If Arizona State continues to shoot this well from downtown, the Sun Devils should keep themselves in this road game against Kansas.
Few Turnovers For Kansas
Kansas has done a great job keeping turnovers down. The Jayhawks have allowed only 14.7% of turnovers per game this season. Now, they’ll go up against Arizona State, who has earned only 16.5% of turnovers per game this season.
Kansas will get plenty of shots up. The Jayhawks aren’t great at earning foul shots, but they’ve hit 35.2% from three and 56.1% from inside the arc.
These rates should be enough to hit the over if the turnovers stay down. Grab the Over 142 in this game.
NCAAB Pick: Over 142 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
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