This is one of the final weekends of the regular season in college basketball. It’s officially March! Let’s start the month off strong and build our bankroll for the madness. Here are three bets using our AI Model!
Picks Summary
- Marquette -8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
- Florida -9.5 (-110) at Bet365
- Arizona-Iowa State Under 151.5 (-110) at Bet365
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Georgetown Hoyas
Saturday, March 01, 2025 – 08:00 PM ET at Capitol One Arena
The AI Model thinks Marquette will escape Georgetown with a 77-68 road win. That would be a nine-point win, which would be enough since Marquette is -8.5 via Caesars.
Marquette Can Outscore Georgetown
The Marquette Golden Eagles have limited turnovers to 13.3%. That’s sixth-best in the nation. When turnovers are low, not only do you get looks from the floor, but you’re also able to limit fastbreaks and transition buckets on defense.
It’s a big key to Marquette’s success.
Plus, Georgetown has allowed 30% of offensive rebounds. The Golden Eagles will likely add a bunch of second-chance points from offensive rebounds.
Georgetown Is Toast In Three Areas
Three keys for Georgetown will set them back in this game.
For one, Georgetown has turned the ball over 17.8% of the time. That’s not ideal, especially going up against a Marquette defense with 22.7% of turnovers per game.
Additionally, Georgetown lacks many foul shot attempts per game and has hit only 31.3% from downtown. These areas will bite Georgetown down the stretch. Roll with Marquette at -8.5.
NCAAB Pick: Marquette -8.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Florida Gators
Saturday, March 01, 2025 – 08:30 PM ET at Stephen C. O’Connell Center
The AI Model suggests the Florida Gators will add a 10-point win at home against the Texas A&M Aggies. Florida has had some weird moments over the last few games, but A&M has looked completely lost. That said, Florida is -9.5 against the spread at Bet365. That’s the play.
Texas A&M Won’t Even Dominate The Glass!
The Texas A&M Aggies have shot a 47.8% effective field goal percentage this season. It’s one of the worst rates in the SEC. Ultimately, they’ve shot just 30.6% from deep and 48.8% from inside the arc.
Typically, that doesn’t get the job done. However, the Aggies rank first in offensive rebounding percentage and 23rd in FTA/FGA. The second chances and trips to the foul line offensively keep them in the game.
That just won’t happen against Florida. The Gators have limited teams to 28.5% of offensive rebounds and rank 130th in FTA/FGA on defense. If A&M can’t earn its typical averages in those two areas, winning on the road will be hard.
Expect Florida To Rebound
The Gators struggled against the LSU Tigers and then lost to Georgia following that game.
Some believe Florida has peaked and isn’t as good. But Texas A&M has lost three straight games and will be on the road to face a Florida team that is still super dangerous.
The Gators have delivered 38% of offensive rebounds themselves, hitting 35.1% from deep and 55.5% from inside the arc.
That’ll be enough to cover. Consider the Gators at -9.5.
NCAAB Pick: Florida -9.5 (-110) at Bet365 (check our Bet365 Review)
Arizona Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones
Saturday, March 01, 2025 – 09:00 PM ET at Hilton Coliseum
The AI Model thinks Arizona and Iowa State will combine for 150 points. However, the total for this game is currently at 151.5. The Under has the most value here.
Iowa State Can Defend!
The Iowa State Cyclones have limited teams to a 48.6% effective field goal percentage. Teams have shot just 33.7% from deep and 47.3% from inside against the Cyclones this season.
In addition, the Cyclones have added nearly 22% of turnovers and have allowed just 27.6% of offensive rebounds.
That will hurt Arizona, which loves to dominate the glass. The Wildcats have earned 36.8% of offensive rebounds per game but likely won’t reach that number on the road against Iowa State.
Arizona Is Just As Good Defensively
The Wildcats rank 17th in defensive-adjusted efficiency per KenPom. Arizona has held etams to 31.7% from deep and 47.3% from inside the arc. Like Iowa State, the Wildcats don’t have many flaws defensively, earning above-average numbers in all major defensive categories.
Meanwhile, Iowa State has shot it better from three but also hasn’t earned as many offensive rebounds as Arizona this season.
I totally trust both defenses more in this game. So does the AI Model. Back the Under at -110 betting odds.
NCAAB Pick: Under 151.5 (-110) at Bet365
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