We’ve got more exciting college basketball on the horizon throughout the entire day. Here are three bets the AI Model loves as we head into another day of fun conference tournament games.
Picks Summary
- Kentucky -6.5 (-110)
- Arizona -2.5 (-110)
- Villanova +6.5 (-110)
*All odds from Caesars Sportsbook (check our Caesars Sportsbook Review)
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Kentucky Wildcats
March 13, 2025 – 9:30 PM ET at Bridgestone Arena
The AI Model projects Kentucky will earn an 85-78 win over Oklahoma tonight. Meanwhile, Kentucky is just -6.5 at Bet365 right now. The Wildcats would cover in this scenario.
Can Oklahoma Make Its Three-Point Shots?
The Oklahoma Sooners have shot 37% from deep and 54.5% from inside the arc. Oklahoma will have its way down low. However, from downtown, it could get hard. After all, Kentucky has limited teams to 30.4% from deep.
In addition, if Oklahoma misses several threes, it will have trouble gaining offensive rebounds. This season, Oklahoma has tallied only 26.9% of offensive rebounds per game.
Meanwhile, Kentucky has allowed only 26.4% of offensive rebounds. As long as Oklahoma struggles from three, it’ll be super hard for the Sooners to come out of this game with a win.
Kentucky Must Dominate Inside!
The Wildcats also like making many threes. However, they must dominate inside more, as Oklahoma has allowed teams to shoot nearly 55% from two-point range this season.
In addition, the Sooners have allowed 31.9% of offensive rebounds and a much higher FTA/FGA ratio.
If Kentucky can exploit these areas, the Wildcats should be able to advance and cover the 6.5-point spread. Thank the AI Model when this Kentucky -6.5 wager hits.
NCAAB Pick: Kentucky -6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona Wildcats
Thursday, March 13, 2025 – 9:30 PM ET at T-Mobile Center
The AI Model likes Arizona to knock off Kansas, 78-73. However, Arizona is just -2.5 against the spread. There’s a lot of value with the Wildcats tonight.
Kansas Won’t Get To The Foul Line!
The Kansas Jayhawks do a lot of great things on offense. But the one blemish is that the team doesn’t get to the foul line.
Kansas has added a 24.5 FTA/FGA ratio, which is 353rd in the nation. The lack of free throws is disturbing.
Plus, Arizona has limited teams to a 48.3% effective field goal percentage. Opponents have nailed only 33% from deep and 47.4% from inside the arc. Kansas won’t get anything easy offensively.
Where Can Arizona Exploit?
Arizona’s offense will not have an easy game against Kansas’ defense. However, Kansas has earned just 15.7% of turnovers, making it likely that Arizona will win the turnover battle.
Plus, the Wildcats have shot better from inside the arc and have added 78.3% from the foul line. They’re better at the foul line and are more careful with the ball while adding way more offensive rebounds.
I’m on Arizona at -2.5.
NCAAB Pick: Arizona -2.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
Villanova Wildcats vs. UConn Huskies
Thursday, March 13, 2025 – 9:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden
The AI Model suggests UConn will escape Villanova with a 71-65 victory. However, Villanova is +6.5 against the spread and would cover against the spread if this game played out the way the AI Model thinks. Take Villanova at +6.5.
Villanova Has The Edge!
The Villanova Wildcats have shot 40% from downtown and shoot the three-ball at a high rate. They’ll face a UConn defense that has allowed teams to hit 35.1% from deep this season.
In addition, the Wildcats have only turned the ball over 15.8% of the time, while UConn has forced just 15.8% of turnovers.
It’s likely Villanova hits three-pointers at a high rate and also limits turnovers at a high rate. There’s also a good chance Villanova will get to the foul line more, with UConn ranking 325th in FTA/FGA on defense this season.
It All Comes Down To The Three-Ball!
Villanova and UConn play well together. Both teams hit the three-ball a lot and don’t force many turnovers.
In addition, both teams don’t consistently get to the foul line. UConn fouls more,, and Villanova ultimately has a worse two-point percentage on defense.
But overall, both teams match up very evenly. On a neutral court, the underdog seems like the better pick. Ride the Villanova Wildcats at +6.5.
NCAAB Pick: Villanova +6.5 (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
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*The line and/or odds referenced in this article might have changed since the content was published. For the latest information on line movements, visit OddsTrader’s free betting odds tool.
